Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.60
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.66
Chesham United vs Real Bedford preview and prediction
The match
Real Bedford travel to face Chesham United in the FA Cup on Saturday 3 October (15:00 WAT).
Form guide
Chesham United's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Maidenhead 0–4 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Real Bedford's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Leiston 3–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Real Bedford arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.4 goals: 2.3 for Chesham United and 2.1 for Real Bedford. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 70% and both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chesham United 41%, draw 22%, Real Bedford 36%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.43, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Chesham United 2–2 Real Bedford. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chesham United41%fair 2.42 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.40
Real Bedford36%fair 2.77 · @2.75
4.36Expected goals
2.25Chesham United xG
2.11Real Bedford xG
60%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–27%
2–17%
1–26%
1–16%
3–25%
3–15%
From our goals model: Chesham United 2.3 – 2.1 Real Bedford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chesham United to win✓
41%
2.42
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.60 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Chesham United ahead at half-time✓
36%
2.79
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chesham United / FT Chesham United✓
27%
3.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
14.66
–
Form
Chesham United – last 6
LWWLLD
26 Sep
vs Maidenhead
0–4
L
19 Sep
vs Ware
7–2
W
12 Sep
@ Horsham
4–1
W
8 Sep
vs Billericay Town
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Truro City
1–3
L
31 Aug
vs Dover
2–2
D
2.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Real Bedford – last 6
WLWWWW
29 Sep
vs Leiston
3–2
W
26 Sep
vs Wingate & Finchley
0–3
L
22 Sep
@ Stourbridge
4–1
W
19 Sep
@ Harleston Town
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Redditch United
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Royston Town
4–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chesham United and Real Bedford.
What is the prediction for Chesham United vs Real Bedford?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Chesham United vs Real Bedford?
On our numbers Chesham United have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Real Bedford 36%.
How many goals will there be in Chesham United vs Real Bedford?
We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chesham United vs Real Bedford?
Our predicted score is Chesham United 2–2 Real Bedford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.4 goals in total.
When is Chesham United vs Real Bedford?
Chesham United vs Real Bedford (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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