Bury Town vs Spalding United prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBury Town to win ✗39% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.66
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · @1.67
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.52
Bury Town vs Spalding United preview and prediction
The match
The FA Cup sees Bury Town take on Spalding United on Saturday 3 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Bury Town's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Bishop's Stortford 2–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Spalding United's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Chorley 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.0 for Bury Town and 2.0 for Spalding United. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bury Town 39%, draw 22%, Spalding United 39%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bury Town 2–1 Spalding United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bury Town39%fair 2.56 · @2.80
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.50
Spalding United39%fair 2.58 · @2.10
3.97Expected goals
1.99Bury Town xG
1.98Spalding United xG
60%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–17%
2–17%
1–27%
2–27%
3–15%
1–35%
From our goals model: Bury Town 2.0 – 2.0 Spalding United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bury Town to win✗
39%
2.56
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.67 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
34%
2.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bury Town / FT Bury Town✗
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.52
–
Form
Bury Town – last 6
WLWWLW
29 Sep
@ Bishop's Stortford
2–1
W
26 Sep
@ St Albans City
1–4
L
22 Sep
vs Hitchin Town
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Gorleston
4–3
W
12 Sep
@ Bromsgrove Sporting
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ London Lions
4–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Spalding United – last 6
LWWWWD
26 Sep
@ Chorley
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs Hanley Town
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs Bedford Town
2–1
W
8 Sep
@ Spennymoor Town
3–1
W
5 Sep
vs Southport
2–0
W
31 Aug
@ South Shields
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bury Town and Spalding United.
What is the prediction for Bury Town vs Spalding United?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Bury Town vs Spalding United?
On our numbers Bury Town have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Spalding United 39%.
How many goals will there be in Bury Town vs Spalding United?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bury Town vs Spalding United?
Our predicted score is Bury Town 2–1 Spalding United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Bury Town vs Spalding United?
Bury Town vs Spalding United (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.