Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeiston to win ✓65% · @1.67
Double chanceLeiston or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.73
Leiston vs Coventry United preview and prediction
The match
Coventry United travel to face Leiston in the FA Cup on Saturday 3 October (15:00 WAT).
Form guide
Leiston's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Real Bedford 2–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Coventry United's last 3: WWL Most recently they beat Hednesford Town 1–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Coventry United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Leiston and 0.8 for Coventry United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 47%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Leiston 65%, draw 21%, Coventry United 14%.
Safer route: Leiston or draw (86%) at 1.18.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Leiston to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Leiston 1–0 Coventry United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leiston65%fair 1.54 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.75
Coventry United14%fair 7.33 · @3.90
2.71Expected goals
1.95Leiston xG
0.77Coventry United xG
47%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Leiston 1.9 – 0.8 Coventry United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leiston to win✓
65%
1.54
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Leiston or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Leiston ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leiston / FT Leiston✓
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.73
–
Form
Leiston – last 6
LLLWWD
29 Sep
@ Real Bedford
2–3
L
26 Sep
vs Dartford
0–3
L
22 Sep
vs Peterborough Sports
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ Hitchin Town
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Banbury United
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Grays Athletic
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Coventry United – last 3
WWL
19 Sep
@ Hednesford Town
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Bedworth United
2–1
W
29 Aug
vs Kidsgrove Athletic
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leiston and Coventry United.
What is the prediction for Leiston vs Coventry United?
Our pick is Leiston to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Leiston vs Coventry United?
On our numbers Leiston have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Coventry United 14%.
How many goals will there be in Leiston vs Coventry United?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leiston vs Coventry United?
Our predicted score is Leiston 1–0 Coventry United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Leiston vs Coventry United?
Leiston vs Coventry United (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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