Value bet: St Albans City to win @ 3.00 – our chance 43% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +30%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSt Albans City to win ✗43% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.94
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.41
Harborough Town vs St Albans City preview and prediction
The match
The FA Cup sees Harborough Town take on St Albans City on Saturday 3 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Harborough Town's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Macclesfield 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
St Albans City's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Bury Town 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
St Albans City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Harborough Town and 1.3 for St Albans City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Harborough Town 35%, draw 21%, St Albans City 43%.
Value angle: St Albans City to win at 3.00 – 43% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 52% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Harborough Town 1–2 St Albans City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Harborough Town35%fair 2.83 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.60
St Albans City43%fair 2.31 · @3.00
2.36Expected goals
1.10Harborough Town xG
1.26St Albans City xG
48%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Harborough Town 1.1 – 1.3 St Albans City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
St Albans City to win✗
43%
2.31
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT St Albans City / FT St Albans City✗
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.41
–
Form
Harborough Town – last 6
LWDLLW
26 Sep
@ Macclesfield
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Rushall Olympic
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs AFC Telford United
0–0
D
8 Sep
vs Hereford
0–3
L
5 Sep
@ Brackley Town
0–1
L
31 Aug
vs Marine
2–1
W
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
St Albans City – last 6
WWDWDD
26 Sep
vs Bury Town
4–1
W
19 Sep
@ Witham Town
3–0
W
15 Sep
@ Cray Wanderers
3–3
D
12 Sep
vs Three Bridges
4–0
W
5 Sep
vs Hashtag United
0–0
D
31 Aug
@ Cheshunt
1–1
D
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Harborough Town and St Albans City.
What is the prediction for Harborough Town vs St Albans City?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Harborough Town vs St Albans City?
On our numbers Harborough Town have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and St Albans City 43%.
How many goals will there be in Harborough Town vs St Albans City?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Harborough Town vs St Albans City?
Our predicted score is Harborough Town 1–2 St Albans City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Harborough Town vs St Albans City?
Harborough Town vs St Albans City (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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