Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
1
Value bet: Hanwell Town to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHanwell Town to win ✗40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.00
Hanwell Town vs Dover preview and prediction
The match
Hanwell Town host Dover in the FA Cup on Saturday 3 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Hanwell Town's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with Havant & Wville 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Dover's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat AFC Totton 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dover arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.6 for Hanwell Town and 1.6 for Dover. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hanwell Town 40%, draw 21%, Dover 39%.
Value angle: Hanwell Town to win at 2.70 – 40% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Hanwell Town 2–1 Dover. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hanwell Town40%fair 2.53 · @2.70
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.75
Dover39%fair 2.54 · @2.10
3.24Expected goals
1.62Hanwell Town xG
1.62Dover xG
55%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Hanwell Town 1.6 – 1.6 Dover expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hanwell Town to win✗
40%
2.53
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hanwell Town / FT Hanwell Town✗
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.00
–
Form
Hanwell Town – last 6
DLWDWL
29 Sep
@ Havant & Wville
1–1
D
26 Sep
vs Enfield Town
2–4
L
19 Sep
vs Burgess Hill Town
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Frome Town
2–2
D
4 Sep
@ Flackwell Heath
1–0
W
31 Aug
@ Berkhamsted
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Dover – last 6
WWWWLD
26 Sep
vs AFC Totton
2–0
W
19 Sep
vs Folkestone Invicta
4–2
W
12 Sep
@ Farnborough
1–0
W
8 Sep
@ Dagenham & Redbridge
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Maidenhead
0–3
L
31 Aug
@ Chesham United
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hanwell Town and Dover.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Hanwell Town vs Dover?
On our numbers Hanwell Town have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Dover 39%.
How many goals will there be in Hanwell Town vs Dover?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hanwell Town vs Dover?
Our predicted score is Hanwell Town 2–1 Dover, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Hanwell Town vs Dover?
Hanwell Town vs Dover (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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