Welling United vs Chertsey Town prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Welling United to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultWelling United to win ✗60% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✗83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Welling United vs Chertsey Town preview and prediction
The match
Welling United host Chertsey Town in the FA Trophy on Saturday 26 September, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Welling United's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Dulwich Hamlet 1–4 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Chertsey Town's last 5: DWWDL Most recently they drew with Chichester City 2–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.0 for Welling United and 1.1 for Chertsey Town. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Welling United 60%, draw 17%, Chertsey Town 22%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Welling United to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Welling United 2–1 Chertsey Town. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Welling United60%fair 1.65 · @1.85
Draw17%fair 5.72 · @3.60
Chertsey Town22%fair 4.54 · @3.30
3.10Expected goals
2.01Welling United xG
1.09Chertsey Town xG
51%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Welling United 2.0 – 1.1 Chertsey Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Welling United to win✗
60%
1.65
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Welling United ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Welling United / FT Welling United✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.08
–
Form
Welling United – last 6
LWWDLW
19 Sep
@ Dulwich Hamlet
1–4
L
15 Sep
vs Cheshunt
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs Wingate & Finchley
4–1
W
5 Sep
@ Faversham Town
1–1
D
31 Aug
@ Cray Wanderers
1–4
L
29 Aug
vs Ramsgate
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chertsey Town – last 6
DWWDLL
22 Sep
@ Chichester City
2–2
D
19 Sep
vs Greenwich Borough
3–2
W
12 Sep
vs Malvern Town
5–0
W
5 Sep
vs Carshalton Athletic
1–1
D
31 Aug
@ Hanworth Villa
1–4
L
29 Aug
vs Frome Town
1–2
L
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Welling United and Chertsey Town.
What is the prediction for Welling United vs Chertsey Town?
Our pick is Welling United to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Welling United vs Chertsey Town?
On our numbers Welling United have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Chertsey Town 22%.
How many goals will there be in Welling United vs Chertsey Town?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Welling United vs Chertsey Town?
Our predicted score is Welling United 2–1 Chertsey Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Welling United vs Chertsey Town?
Welling United vs Chertsey Town (FA Trophy) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.