Cleethorpes Town vs Lancaster City prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Cleethorpes Town or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Cleethorpes Town to win @ 1.80 – our chance 65% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCleethorpes Town to win ✓65% · @1.80
Double chanceCleethorpes Town or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.48
Cleethorpes Town vs Lancaster City preview and prediction
The match
The FA Trophy sees Cleethorpes Town take on Lancaster City on Saturday 26 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Cleethorpes Town's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Redcar Athletic 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lancaster City's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Bradford (Park Avenue) 0–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Cleethorpes Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for Cleethorpes Town and 0.9 for Lancaster City. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cleethorpes Town 65%, draw 21%, Lancaster City 14%.
Safer route: Cleethorpes Town or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Cleethorpes Town to win at 1.80 – 65% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cleethorpes Town or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cleethorpes Town 2–0 Lancaster City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cleethorpes Town65%fair 1.53 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.50
Lancaster City14%fair 7.36 · @3.70
3.15Expected goals
2.21Cleethorpes Town xG
0.93Lancaster City xG
51%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Cleethorpes Town 2.2 – 0.9 Lancaster City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cleethorpes Town to win✓
65%
1.53
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Cleethorpes Town or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Cleethorpes Town ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cleethorpes Town / FT Cleethorpes Town✗
44%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.48
–
Form
Cleethorpes Town – last 6
DWLWLW
22 Sep
vs Redcar Athletic
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Ashton United
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Newcastle Town
1–2
L
31 Aug
@ Gainsborough Trinity
3–0
W
28 Aug
vs Curzon Ashton
1–3
L
25 Aug
vs Whitby Town
6–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lancaster City – last 6
LLDLWW
19 Sep
@ Bradford (Park Avenue)
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs Curzon Ashton
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Tadcaster Albion
1–1
D
31 Aug
vs Workington
0–3
L
28 Aug
@ Guiseley AFC
2–1
W
25 Aug
@ Bury
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cleethorpes Town and Lancaster City.
What is the prediction for Cleethorpes Town vs Lancaster City?
Our pick is Cleethorpes Town or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Cleethorpes Town vs Lancaster City?
On our numbers Cleethorpes Town have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lancaster City 14%.
How many goals will there be in Cleethorpes Town vs Lancaster City?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cleethorpes Town vs Lancaster City?
Our predicted score is Cleethorpes Town 2–0 Lancaster City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Cleethorpes Town vs Lancaster City?
Cleethorpes Town vs Lancaster City (FA Trophy) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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