FA Trophy · England
Alfreton Town vs Shifnal Town FC prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Alfreton Town 2.7 – 1.2 Shifnal Town FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Alfreton Town are clear favourites at home with a 66% chance of winning, against 13% for Shifnal Town FC.
Alfreton Town have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (2W 0D 4L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.3 per game. Shifnal Town FC have 9 points from their last 4 (3W 0D 1L), averaging 2.5 scored and 1.5 conceded. Shifnal Town FC come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.9 goals (2.7 for Alfreton Town, 1.2 for Shifnal Town FC). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 3–1 (8%), 2–0 (7%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 70% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.43.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Alfreton Town to win ✓ | 66% | 1.52 | 1.53 |
| Double chance | Alfreton Town or draw ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 90% | 1.11 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✗ | 55% | 1.82 | – |
| Half-time result | Alfreton Town ahead at half-time ✓ | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Alfreton Town / FT Alfreton Town ✓ | 46% | 2.17 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✓ | 9% | 11.30 | – |
Form
Alfreton Town – last 6
| 12 Sep | @ Bamber Bridge | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Stratford Town | 0–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | @ Whitby Town | 4–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Rylands | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Aug | vs Hyde United | 4–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Stockton Town | 0–2 | L |
Shifnal Town FC – last 4
| 12 Sep | vs Shepshed Dynamo | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | vs Rugby Borough | 4–2 | W |
| 28 Jul | @ Coleshill Town | 3–2 | W |
| 6 Apr | @ Congleton Town | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alfreton Town and Shifnal Town FC.
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What is the prediction for Alfreton Town vs Shifnal Town FC?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Alfreton Town vs Shifnal Town FC?
On our numbers Alfreton Town have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Shifnal Town FC 13%.
How many goals will there be in Alfreton Town vs Shifnal Town FC?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Alfreton Town vs Shifnal Town FC?
Alfreton Town vs Shifnal Town FC (FA Trophy) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.