Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTwente to win ✓72% · @1.22
Double chanceTwente or draw ✓93% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 12.61
Twente vs FC Thun preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA Europa Conference League sees Twente take on FC Thun on Thursday 15 October, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at De Grolsch Veste. Twente are 3rd with 9 points from 3 games (in the top four), while FC Thun sit 20th on 3 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Twente's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Fortuna Sittard 1–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
FC Thun's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to FC Zurich 2–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Twente arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.5 goals: 3.2 for Twente and 1.3 for FC Thun. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 83% and both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Twente 72%, draw 21%, FC Thun 7%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Twente 3–1 FC Thun. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Twente72%fair 1.39 · @1.22
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @6.50
FC Thun7%fair 13.77 · @10.00
4.50Expected goals
3.24Twente xG
1.26FC Thun xG
63%Both score
83%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–18%
2–17%
4–16%
3–06%
2–06%
4–05%
From our goals model: Twente 3.2 – 1.3 FC Thun expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Twente to win✓
72%
1.39
1.22
Double chance
Twente or draw✓
93%
1.08
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.73 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Twente ahead at half-time✗
58%
1.71
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Twente / FT Twente✗
54%
1.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
8%
12.61
–
Form
Twente – last 6
DWWWDW
10 Oct
@ Fortuna Sittard
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs PSV Eindhoven
3–2
W
12 Sep
vs ADO Den Haag
2–0
W
9 Sep
vs Telstar
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Groningen
2–2
D
30 Aug
@ Cambuur
4–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC Thun – last 6
LWWLLL
10 Oct
@ FC Zurich
2–4
L
3 Oct
vs SC Kriens
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ FC Vaduz
2–1
W
16 Sep
vs Servette FC
2–4
L
12 Sep
vs Grasshoppers
0–1
L
6 Sep
@ FC Sion
2–3
L
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Twente and FC Thun.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Twente vs FC Thun?
On our numbers Twente have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Thun 7%.
How many goals will there be in Twente vs FC Thun?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Twente vs FC Thun?
Our predicted score is Twente 3–1 FC Thun, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is Twente vs FC Thun?
Twente vs FC Thun (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at De Grolsch Veste.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
