Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMonaco to win ✓61% · @1.50
Double chanceMonaco or draw ✓84% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.80
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗7% · fair 15.22
CSKA Sofia vs Monaco preview and prediction
The match
Monaco travel to Vasil Levski National Sports Academy in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 15 October (17:45 WAT) to face CSKA Sofia. CSKA Sofia are 28th with 1 points from 3 games (in the bottom half), while Monaco sit 4th on 9 points (in the top four).
Form guide
CSKA Sofia's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat CSKA 1948 3–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Monaco's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Toulouse 2–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 5.0 goals: 1.8 for CSKA Sofia and 3.2 for Monaco. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: CSKA Sofia 16%, draw 22%, Monaco 61%.
Safer route: Monaco or draw (84%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: CSKA Sofia 1–3 Monaco. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CSKA Sofia16%fair 6.13 · @5.50
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @4.33
Monaco61%fair 1.63 · @1.50
5.00Expected goals
1.82CSKA Sofia xG
3.18Monaco xG
67%Both score
88%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–37%
1–26%
2–36%
2–26%
1–45%
2–45%
From our goals model: CSKA Sofia 1.8 – 3.2 Monaco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Monaco to win✓
61%
1.63
1.50
Double chance
Monaco or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.48
1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Monaco ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Monaco / FT Monaco✓
44%
2.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✗
7%
15.22
–
Form
CSKA Sofia – last 6
WDWWWD
11 Oct
@ CSKA 1948
3–2
W
20 Sep
@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–1
D
16 Sep
@ Lokomotiv Sofia
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs Arda Kardzhali
4–1
W
9 Sep
@ Levski Sofia
4–2
W
5 Sep
@ Spartak Varna
1–1
D
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Monaco – last 6
DWDWWW
10 Oct
vs Toulouse
2–2
D
18 Sep
vs Lens
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Strasbourg
1–1
D
4 Sep
@ Paris Saint Germain
2–1
W
30 Aug
vs Marseille
2–0
W
27 Aug
vs Gornik Zabrze
4–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CSKA Sofia and Monaco.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win CSKA Sofia vs Monaco?
On our numbers CSKA Sofia have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Monaco 61%.
How many goals will there be in CSKA Sofia vs Monaco?
We expect about 5.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CSKA Sofia vs Monaco?
Our predicted score is CSKA Sofia 1–3 Monaco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.0 goals in total.
When is CSKA Sofia vs Monaco?
CSKA Sofia vs Monaco (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Vasil Levski National Sports Academy.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
