Gent vs Aarhus prediction & analysis
Not both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Gent 1.1 – 0.4 Aarhus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Gent are clear favourites at home with a 60% chance of winning, against 16% for Aarhus.
Gent have taken 16 points from their last 6 matches (5W 1D 0L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.5 per game. Aarhus have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 2.5 scored and 1.3 conceded. Gent come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 1.5 goals (1.1 for Gent, 0.4 for Aarhus). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 1–0 (25%), 0–0 (22%), 2–0 (14%).
Our pick is Not both teams to score at a 58% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.95 is better than our fair price of 1.71, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Gent to win ✓ | 60% | 1.66 | 1.62 |
| Double chance | Gent or draw ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 58% | 1.71 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Under 1.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 93% | 1.07 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Gent / FT Gent ✗ | 32% | 3.12 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✓ | 25% | 3.93 | – |
Form
Gent – last 6
| 10 Oct | @ Zulte Waregem | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Sep | vs Standard Liege | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Genk | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | @ Cercle Brugge | 3–0 | W |
| 3 Sep | vs OH Leuven | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | vs Club Brugge KV | 2–1 | W |
Aarhus – last 6
| 12 Oct | vs Sonderjyske | 3–0 | W |
| 2 Oct | vs Vendsyssel FF | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ AC Horsens | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Sep | @ Skjold Sæby | 6–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ FC Nordsjaelland | 0–2 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs Silkeborg | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gent and Aarhus.
UEFA Europa Conference League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Lugano | 3 | +7 | 9 |
| 2 |  Panathinaikos | 3 | +6 | 9 |
| 3 |  Twente | 3 | +6 | 9 |
| 4 |  Monaco | 3 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |  Brighton | 3 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 |  Brann | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 7 |  FC Copenhagen | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 8 |  Universitatea Craiova | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 9 |  Mjallby AIF | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 10 |  St. Truiden | 3 | +3 | 7 |
| 11 |  Ajax | 3 | +6 | 6 |
| 12 |  Trabzonspor | 3 | +3 | 6 |
| 13 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  SC Freiburg | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 15 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 |  Atalanta | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 |  SC Braga | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 18 |  Gent | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 19 |  Riga | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 |  FC Thun | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 21 |  Borac Banja Luka | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 22 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 23 |  FK Jablonec | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 24 |  Aarhus | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 25 |  FC Nordsjaelland | 3 | -2 | 2 |
| 26 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 3 | -2 | 2 |
| 27 |  Kairat Almaty | 3 | -4 | 2 |
| 28 |  CSKA Sofia | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 30 |  Pafos | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 31 |  Getafe | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 32 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 33 |  KuPS | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 34 |  FC Midtjylland | 3 | -6 | 1 |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 3 | -10 | 0 |
More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Gent vs Aarhus?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Gent vs Aarhus?
On our numbers Gent have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Aarhus 16%.
How many goals will there be in Gent vs Aarhus?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
When is Gent vs Aarhus?
Gent vs Aarhus (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Planet Group Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.