Heart Of Midlothian vs FC Nordsjaelland prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: FC Nordsjaelland to win @ 2.20 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Nordsjaelland to win ✗51% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.22
Heart Of Midlothian vs FC Nordsjaelland preview and prediction
The match
Heart Of Midlothian host FC Nordsjaelland in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 15 October, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Tynecastle Park. Heart Of Midlothian are 32nd with 1 points from 3 games (in the bottom half), while FC Nordsjaelland sit 25th on 2 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Heart Of Midlothian's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat ST Mirren 5–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
FC Nordsjaelland's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Odense 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Heart Of Midlothian arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.5 for Heart Of Midlothian and 2.1 for FC Nordsjaelland. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Heart Of Midlothian 29%, draw 21%, FC Nordsjaelland 51%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.44.
Value angle: FC Nordsjaelland to win at 2.20 – 51% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Heart Of Midlothian 1–2 FC Nordsjaelland. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Heart Of Midlothian29%fair 3.47 · @2.90
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.50
FC Nordsjaelland51%fair 1.97 · @2.20
3.63Expected goals
1.54Heart Of Midlothian xG
2.09FC Nordsjaelland xG
66%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–19%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
0–26%
From our goals model: Heart Of Midlothian 1.5 – 2.1 FC Nordsjaelland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Nordsjaelland to win✗
51%
1.97
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.51
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
FC Nordsjaelland ahead at half-time✗
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Nordsjaelland / FT FC Nordsjaelland✗
32%
3.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.22
–
Form
Heart Of Midlothian – last 6
WDLWWW
10 Oct
vs ST Mirren
5–0
W
19 Sep
@ Kilmarnock
1–1
D
15 Sep
@ Falkirk
1–2
L
11 Sep
@ Stenhousemuir
3–0
W
6 Sep
vs Dundee
2–1
W
3 Sep
@ Hibernian
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
FC Nordsjaelland – last 6
DLLWWD
9 Oct
vs Odense
0–0
D
3 Oct
@ Malmo FF
0–3
L
20 Sep
@ Viborg
1–4
L
16 Sep
@ Vatanspor
3–0
W
13 Sep
vs Aarhus
2–0
W
7 Sep
@ FC Midtjylland
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Heart Of Midlothian and FC Nordsjaelland.
What is the prediction for Heart Of Midlothian vs FC Nordsjaelland?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Heart Of Midlothian vs FC Nordsjaelland?
On our numbers Heart Of Midlothian have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Nordsjaelland 51%.
How many goals will there be in Heart Of Midlothian vs FC Nordsjaelland?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Heart Of Midlothian vs FC Nordsjaelland?
Our predicted score is Heart Of Midlothian 1–2 FC Nordsjaelland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Heart Of Midlothian vs FC Nordsjaelland?
Heart Of Midlothian vs FC Nordsjaelland (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Tynecastle Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
