Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · @1.40
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.37
Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA Europa Conference League sees Brighton take on Kauno Žalgiris on Thursday 15 October, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Amex Stadium. Brighton are 5th with 7 points from 3 games (in the top half), while Kauno Žalgiris sit 36th on 0 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Brighton's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Sunderland 2–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kauno Žalgiris's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Minija 3–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.7 for Brighton and 0.3 for Kauno Žalgiris. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Brighton 76%, draw 14%, Kauno Žalgiris 10%.
Both teams to score: no (57%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Brighton 1–0 Kauno Žalgiris. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Brighton76%fair 1.32 · @1.03
Draw14%fair 7.07 · @21.00
Kauno Žalgiris10%fair 9.98 · @51.00
2.00Expected goals
1.69Brighton xG
0.31Kauno Žalgiris xG
43%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–023%
2–019%
0–014%
3–011%
1–17%
2–16%
From our goals model: Brighton 1.7 – 0.3 Kauno Žalgiris expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brighton to win✓
76%
1.32
1.03
Double chance
Brighton or draw✓
90%
1.11
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Brighton ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brighton / FT Brighton✓
46%
2.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
23%
4.37
–
Form
Brighton – last 6
WWWWDL
10 Oct
@ Sunderland
2–0
W
19 Sep
vs Arsenal
3–0
W
16 Sep
@ Manchester United
3–2
W
13 Sep
@ Coventry
5–0
W
5 Sep
vs Leeds
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Chelsea
3–4
L
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Kauno Žalgiris – last 6
WWLWWW
11 Oct
@ Minija
3–0
W
20 Sep
@ Šiauliai
2–0
W
16 Sep
@ FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2–3
L
13 Sep
@ Panevėžys
1–0
W
9 Sep
vs Suduva Marijampole
5–1
W
6 Sep
vs Džiugas Telšiai
5–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brighton and Kauno Žalgiris.
What is the prediction for Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris?
On our numbers Brighton have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Kauno Žalgiris 10%.
How many goals will there be in Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Our predicted score is Brighton 1–0 Kauno Žalgiris, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Amex Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
