Value bet: Torreense to win @ 1.70 – our chance 66% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTorreense to win ✓66% · @1.70
Double chanceTorreense or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 8.91
Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA Europa League sees Torreense take on Ararat-Armenia on Thursday 5 November, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa. Torreense are 19th with 6 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while Ararat-Armenia sit 36th on 0 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Torreense's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Portimonense 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Ararat-Armenia's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Gandzasar 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Ararat-Armenia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Torreense and 0.9 for Ararat-Armenia. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 52% and both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Torreense to win at 1.70 – 66% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Torreense 2–0 Ararat-Armenia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Torreense66%fair 1.52 · @1.70
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @3.90
Ararat-Armenia15%fair 6.66 · @4.75
2.97Expected goals
2.10Torreense xG
0.88Ararat-Armenia xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Torreense 2.1 – 0.9 Ararat-Armenia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Torreense to win✓
66%
1.52
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Torreense or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.30
Half-time result
Torreense ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Torreense / FT Torreense✗
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
8.91
–
Form
Torreense – last 6
DWLLLW
31 Oct
@ Portimonense
0–0
D
26 Oct
vs Amarante
1–0
W
22 Oct
@ Ferencvarosi TC
1–4
L
15 Oct
vs Sunderland
1–2
L
10 Oct
@ Tondela
0–1
L
17 Sep
@ Lillestrom
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ararat-Armenia – last 6
WDWLWL
1 Nov
vs Gandzasar
3–0
W
29 Oct
@ Olympia Yerevan
1–1
D
26 Oct
vs FC Noah
2–1
W
22 Oct
vs AZ Alkmaar
0–4
L
18 Oct
@ BKMA
1–0
W
15 Oct
@ Jagiellonia
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Torreense and Ararat-Armenia.
What is the prediction for Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia?
On our numbers Torreense have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Ararat-Armenia 15%.
How many goals will there be in Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia?
Our predicted score is Torreense 2–0 Ararat-Armenia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia?
Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
