Lillestrom vs Plzen prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Lillestrom to win @ 2.88 – our chance 37% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Lillestrom 1.5 – 1.6 Plzen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Lillestrom and Plzen on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 42% for the visitors and 21% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Lillestrom have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.7 per game. Plzen have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 2.7 scored and 1.5 conceded. Lillestrom come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.2 goals (1.5 for Lillestrom, 1.6 for Plzen). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.54. For a bigger price, Lillestrom to win at 2.88 is our value angle (37% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Plzen to win ✓ | 42% | 2.38 | 2.20 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.17 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 61% | 1.65 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.65 | 1.57 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 38% | 2.60 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Plzen / FT Plzen ✓ | 24% | 4.11 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.53 | – |
Form
Lillestrom – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Start | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Oct | vs Sogndal | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | vs Brann | 3–2 | W |
| 22 Oct | vs Real Sociedad | 0–6 | L |
| 18 Oct | @ Sandefjord | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Oct | @ Sparta Praha | 1–1 | D |
Plzen – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Baník Ostrava | 4–0 | W |
| 28 Oct | @ Vysočina Jihlava | 6–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | vs Pardubice | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | vs Levski Sofia | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | @ FK Jablonec | 3–2 | W |
| 15 Oct | @ Ferencvarosi TC | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lillestrom and Plzen.
UEFA Europa League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 4 | +10 | 12 |
| 2 |  Bournemouth | 4 | +9 | 12 |
| 3 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 4 | +8 | 12 |
| 4 |  Union St. Gilloise | 4 | +8 | 10 |
| 5 |  Juventus | 4 | +7 | 10 |
| 6 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | +3 | 10 |
| 7 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | +7 | 9 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Levski Sofia | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Sunderland | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 |  NEC Nijmegen | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 |  Lyon | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  AZ Alkmaar | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 15 |  Anderlecht | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 16 |  OFI | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 17 |  Rennes | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 18 |  Omonia Nicosia | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 19 |  Torreense | 4 | -2 | 6 |
| 20 |  Real Sociedad | 4 | +5 | 5 |
| 21 |  Crystal Palace | 4 | +3 | 5 |
| 22 |  Sparta Praha | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 24 |  Sturm Graz | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 25 |  Celje | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 26 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 4 | -5 | 4 |
| 27 |  Celta Vigo | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 28 |  AC Milan | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 29 |  Jagiellonia | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 30 |  Plzen | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 31 |  Marseille | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 32 |  Celtic | 4 | -5 | 3 |
| 33 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4 | -7 | 1 |
| 34 |  Lillestrom | 4 | -8 | 1 |
| 35 |  Lech Poznan | 4 | -10 | 1 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 4 | -10 | 0 |
More UEFA Europa League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Lillestrom vs Plzen?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Lillestrom vs Plzen?
On our numbers Lillestrom have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Plzen 42%.
How many goals will there be in Lillestrom vs Plzen?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
When is Lillestrom vs Plzen?
Lillestrom vs Plzen (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Åråsen Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.