Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBournemouth to win ✓62% · @1.48
Double chanceBournemouth or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 9.38
Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA Europa League sees Sparta Praha take on Bournemouth on Thursday 5 November, kicking off at 18:45 (WAT) at Stadion Letná. Sparta Praha are 22nd with 4 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while Bournemouth sit 2nd on 12 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Sparta Praha's last 5: DLWLD Most recently they drew with Bohemians 1905 0–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Bournemouth's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Leeds 2–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game. 6 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bournemouth arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.9 for Sparta Praha and 2.0 for Bournemouth. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sparta Praha 15%, draw 22%, Bournemouth 62%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Sparta Praha 0–2 Bournemouth. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sparta Praha15%fair 6.46 · @6.50
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @4.50
Bournemouth62%fair 1.61 · @1.48
2.97Expected goals
0.93Sparta Praha xG
2.04Bournemouth xG
59%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Sparta Praha 0.9 – 2.0 Bournemouth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bournemouth to win✓
62%
1.61
1.48
Double chance
Bournemouth or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.57
Half-time result
Bournemouth ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bournemouth / FT Bournemouth✗
40%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
11%
9.38
–
Form
Sparta Praha – last 6
DLWLDD
1 Nov
@ Bohemians 1905
0–0
D
28 Oct
vs Baník Ostrava
0–2
L
25 Oct
vs Slovácko
5–1
W
22 Oct
@ Olympiakos Piraeus
0–1
L
18 Oct
@ Baník Ostrava
0–0
D
15 Oct
vs Lillestrom
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Bournemouth – last 6
WWWWWW
31 Oct
vs Leeds
2–0
W
28 Oct
vs Aston Villa
3–0
W
25 Oct
@ Manchester United
3–0
W
22 Oct
vs AC Milan
3–0
W
18 Oct
vs Sunderland
2–0
W
15 Oct
vs Sturm Graz
3–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sparta Praha and Bournemouth.
What is the prediction for Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth?
On our numbers Sparta Praha have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bournemouth 62%.
How many goals will there be in Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth?
Our predicted score is Sparta Praha 0–2 Bournemouth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth?
Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Letná.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
