Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb preview and prediction
The match
Sunderland host Dinamo Zagreb in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 5 November, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT) at Stadium of Light. Sunderland are 11th with 7 points from 4 games (in the top half), while Dinamo Zagreb sit 9th on 7 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sunderland's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Coventry 1–3 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Dinamo Zagreb's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Rudes 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Sunderland and 0.7 for Dinamo Zagreb. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sunderland 65%, draw 21%, Dinamo Zagreb 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.45, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sunderland 1–0 Dinamo Zagreb. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sunderland65%fair 1.53 · @1.45
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @4.75
Dinamo Zagreb14%fair 7.35 · @6.50
2.57Expected goals
1.86Sunderland xG
0.70Dinamo Zagreb xG
53%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Sunderland 1.9 – 0.7 Dinamo Zagreb expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sunderland to win✗
65%
1.53
1.45
Double chance
Sunderland or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.50
Half-time result
Sunderland ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sunderland / FT Sunderland✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.99
–
Form
Sunderland – last 6
LWDDLW
31 Oct
@ Coventry
1–3
L
28 Oct
vs Brentford
3–2
W
25 Oct
vs Leeds
0–0
D
22 Oct
@ Lech Poznan
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Bournemouth
0–2
L
15 Oct
@ Torreense
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Dinamo Zagreb – last 6
LWLWWL
31 Oct
@ Rudes
0–1
L
27 Oct
vs HNK Rijeka
2–1
W
22 Oct
vs NEC Nijmegen
2–4
L
18 Oct
@ NK Slaven Belupo
5–1
W
15 Oct
vs Anderlecht
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ HNK Hajduk Split
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sunderland and Dinamo Zagreb.
What is the prediction for Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb?
On our numbers Sunderland have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Dinamo Zagreb 14%.
How many goals will there be in Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb?
Our predicted score is Sunderland 1–0 Dinamo Zagreb, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb?
Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadium of Light.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
