Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Plzen to win @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPlzen to win ✗63% · @1.75
Double chancePlzen or draw ✗83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.67
Plzen vs Levski Sofia preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA Europa League sees Plzen take on Levski Sofia on Thursday 22 October, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Doosan Arena. Plzen are 30th with 3 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while Levski Sofia sit 10th on 7 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Plzen's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat FK Jablonec 3–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Levski Sofia's last 5: WDWLD Most recently they beat Spartak Pleven 2–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Plzen and 1.0 for Levski Sofia. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Plzen 63%, draw 20%, Levski Sofia 17%.
Safer route: Plzen or draw (83%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Plzen to win at 1.75 – 63% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Plzen or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Plzen 2–0 Levski Sofia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Plzen63%fair 1.60 · @1.75
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @3.70
Levski Sofia17%fair 5.75 · @4.00
3.00Expected goals
2.04Plzen xG
0.96Levski Sofia xG
57%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Plzen 2.0 – 1.0 Levski Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Plzen to win✗
63%
1.60
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Plzen or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Plzen ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Plzen / FT Plzen✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.67
–
Form
Plzen – last 6
WLWLLL
18 Oct
@ FK Jablonec
3–2
W
15 Oct
@ Ferencvarosi TC
1–2
L
10 Oct
vs Mlada Boleslav
3–0
W
20 Sep
@ Slavia Praha
1–2
L
17 Sep
vs Union St. Gilloise
0–3
L
13 Sep
vs Sigma Olomouc
2–3
L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Levski Sofia – last 6
WDWLDL
18 Oct
@ Spartak Pleven
2–0
W
15 Oct
@ NEC Nijmegen
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ Cherno More Varna
2–0
W
17 Sep
vs Red Bull Salzburg
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Botev Vratsa
0–0
D
9 Sep
vs CSKA Sofia
2–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Plzen and Levski Sofia.
Our pick is Plzen or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Plzen vs Levski Sofia?
On our numbers Plzen have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Levski Sofia 17%.
How many goals will there be in Plzen vs Levski Sofia?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Plzen vs Levski Sofia?
Our predicted score is Plzen 2–0 Levski Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Plzen vs Levski Sofia?
Plzen vs Levski Sofia (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Doosan Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
