1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Lyon to win @ 3.25 – our chance 38% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: 1899 Hoffenheim 1.9 – 1.8 Lyon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates 1899 Hoffenheim and Lyon on our numbers – 41% for the home side, 38% for the visitors and 21% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
1899 Hoffenheim have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (2W 0D 4L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.2 per game. Lyon have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 2.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. Lyon come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.8 goals (1.9 for 1899 Hoffenheim, 1.8 for Lyon). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (8%), 2–1 (8%), 1–2 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.46. For a bigger price, Lyon to win at 3.25 is our value angle (38% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | 1899 Hoffenheim to win ✓ | 41% | 2.45 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 68% | 1.46 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 89% | 1.13 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.38 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.94 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 35% | 2.88 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT 1899 Hoffenheim / FT 1899 Hoffenheim ✓ | 25% | 4.02 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 8% | 12.65 | – |
Form
1899 Hoffenheim – last 6
| 18 Oct | @ Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Oct | vs Beşiktaş | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Hamburger SV | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ SC Paderborn 07 | 1–3 | L |
| 17 Sep | @ OFI | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs VfB Stuttgart | 2–1 | W |
Lyon – last 6
| 18 Oct | vs Nice | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Oct | vs Crystal Palace | 3–2 | W |
| 9 Oct | @ Lens | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Rennes | 4–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | @ Anderlecht | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Paris FC | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between 1899 Hoffenheim and Lyon.
UEFA Europa League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 4 | +10 | 12 |
| 2 |  Bournemouth | 4 | +9 | 12 |
| 3 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 4 | +8 | 12 |
| 4 |  Union St. Gilloise | 4 | +8 | 10 |
| 5 |  Juventus | 4 | +7 | 10 |
| 6 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | +3 | 10 |
| 7 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | +7 | 9 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Levski Sofia | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Sunderland | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 |  NEC Nijmegen | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 |  Lyon | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  AZ Alkmaar | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 15 |  Anderlecht | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 16 |  OFI | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 17 |  Rennes | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 18 |  Omonia Nicosia | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 19 |  Torreense | 4 | -2 | 6 |
| 20 |  Real Sociedad | 4 | +5 | 5 |
| 21 |  Crystal Palace | 4 | +3 | 5 |
| 22 |  Sparta Praha | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 24 |  Sturm Graz | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 25 |  Celje | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 26 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 4 | -5 | 4 |
| 27 |  Celta Vigo | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 28 |  AC Milan | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 29 |  Jagiellonia | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 30 |  Plzen | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 31 |  Marseille | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 32 |  Celtic | 4 | -5 | 3 |
| 33 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4 | -7 | 1 |
| 34 |  Lillestrom | 4 | -8 | 1 |
| 35 |  Lech Poznan | 4 | -10 | 1 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 4 | -10 | 0 |
More UEFA Europa League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for 1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win 1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon?
On our numbers 1899 Hoffenheim have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lyon 38%.
How many goals will there be in 1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
When is 1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon?
1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Prezero Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.