Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction & analysis
Red Bull Salzburg to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Celje 0.7 – 1.9 Red Bull Salzburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Red Bull Salzburg travel as clear favourites – 65% to win, against 14% for Celje.
Celje have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 0.3 and conceding 1.2 per game. Red Bull Salzburg have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. Red Bull Salzburg come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (0.7 for Celje, 1.9 for Red Bull Salzburg). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (14%), 0–2 (13%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Red Bull Salzburg to win at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is better than our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Red Bull Salzburg to win ✗ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.57 |
| Double chance | Red Bull Salzburg or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.96 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 73% | 1.37 | – |
| Half-time result | Red Bull Salzburg ahead at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.18 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Red Bull Salzburg / FT Red Bull Salzburg ✗ | 41% | 2.42 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 14% | 7.32 | – |
Form
Celje – last 6
| 18 Oct | @ Maribor | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Oct | vs Omonia Nicosia | 0–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Aluminij | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Mura | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Sep | @ Bayer Leverkusen | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | @ Bravo | 1–2 | L |
Red Bull Salzburg – last 6
| 18 Oct | vs SCR Altach | 3–0 | W |
| 15 Oct | vs AC Milan | 0–4 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Grazer AK | 0–0 | D |
| 2 Oct | vs FC BW Linz | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Sturm Graz | 3–0 | W |
| 17 Sep | @ Levski Sofia | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Celje and Red Bull Salzburg.
UEFA Europa League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 4 | +10 | 12 |
| 2 |  Bournemouth | 4 | +9 | 12 |
| 3 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 4 | +8 | 12 |
| 4 |  Union St. Gilloise | 4 | +8 | 10 |
| 5 |  Juventus | 4 | +7 | 10 |
| 6 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 4 | +3 | 10 |
| 7 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | +7 | 9 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Levski Sofia | 4 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Sunderland | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 |  NEC Nijmegen | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 |  Lyon | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  AZ Alkmaar | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 15 |  Anderlecht | 4 | +3 | 6 |
| 16 |  OFI | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 17 |  Rennes | 4 | +1 | 6 |
| 18 |  Omonia Nicosia | 4 | -1 | 6 |
| 19 |  Torreense | 4 | -2 | 6 |
| 20 |  Real Sociedad | 4 | +5 | 5 |
| 21 |  Crystal Palace | 4 | +3 | 5 |
| 22 |  Sparta Praha | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 24 |  Sturm Graz | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 25 |  Celje | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 26 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 4 | -5 | 4 |
| 27 |  Celta Vigo | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 28 |  AC Milan | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 29 |  Jagiellonia | 4 | -3 | 3 |
| 30 |  Plzen | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 31 |  Marseille | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 32 |  Celtic | 4 | -5 | 3 |
| 33 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4 | -7 | 1 |
| 34 |  Lillestrom | 4 | -8 | 1 |
| 35 |  Lech Poznan | 4 | -10 | 1 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 4 | -10 | 0 |
More UEFA Europa League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Our pick is Red Bull Salzburg to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg?
On our numbers Celje have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Red Bull Salzburg 65%.
How many goals will there be in Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Z’dežele.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.