Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Bayer Leverkusen to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.30Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBayer Leverkusen to win ✗67% · @1.30
Double chanceBayer Leverkusen or draw ✗88% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.52
Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille preview and prediction
The match
Bayer Leverkusen host Marseille in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 5 November, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT) at BayArena. Bayer Leverkusen are 7th with 9 points from 4 games (in the top half), while Marseille sit 31st on 3 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Bayer Leverkusen's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to VfB Stuttgart 2–4 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Marseille's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Toulouse 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.2 for Bayer Leverkusen and 0.8 for Marseille. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Bayer Leverkusen to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Bayer Leverkusen 2–0 Marseille. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bayer Leverkusen67%fair 1.49 · @1.30
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @6.00
Marseille12%fair 8.39 · @8.00
3.01Expected goals
2.18Bayer Leverkusen xG
0.83Marseille xG
58%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Bayer Leverkusen 2.2 – 0.8 Marseille expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bayer Leverkusen to win✗
67%
1.49
1.30
Double chance
Bayer Leverkusen or draw✗
88%
1.14
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.80 ▲
Half-time result
Bayer Leverkusen ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bayer Leverkusen / FT Bayer Leverkusen✗
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.52
–
Form
Bayer Leverkusen – last 6
LWLWWW
31 Oct
vs VfB Stuttgart
2–4
L
28 Oct
vs 1. FC Nürnberg
5–2
W
25 Oct
@ 1899 Hoffenheim
0–3
L
22 Oct
@ OFI
2–0
W
18 Oct
vs SC Freiburg
2–1
W
15 Oct
@ Lech Poznan
4–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Marseille – last 6
WWLWLW
1 Nov
vs Toulouse
2–0
W
25 Oct
vs Le Havre
4–3
W
22 Oct
@ Sturm Graz
0–1
L
18 Oct
@ Angers
5–2
W
15 Oct
vs Olympiakos Piraeus
0–1
L
11 Oct
@ Estac Troyes
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bayer Leverkusen and Marseille.
What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille?
Our pick is Bayer Leverkusen to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille?
On our numbers Bayer Leverkusen have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Marseille 12%.
How many goals will there be in Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille?
Our predicted score is Bayer Leverkusen 2–0 Marseille, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille?
Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at BayArena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
