Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRB Leipzig to win ✓66% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.43
RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven preview and prediction
The match
RB Leipzig host PSV Eindhoven in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday 13 October, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Leipzig Red Bull Arena. RB Leipzig are 30th with 3 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while PSV Eindhoven sit 24th on 4 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
RB Leipzig's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Eintracht Frankfurt 6–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
PSV Eindhoven's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Heerenveen 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game.
PSV Eindhoven arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.3 for RB Leipzig and 1.2 for PSV Eindhoven. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was RB Leipzig to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: RB Leipzig 2–1 PSV Eindhoven. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
RB Leipzig66%fair 1.51 · @1.75
Draw14%fair 7.25 · @4.33
PSV Eindhoven20%fair 5.00 · @3.75
3.50Expected goals
2.34RB Leipzig xG
1.16PSV Eindhoven xG
65%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–08%
1–18%
3–17%
1–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: RB Leipzig 2.3 – 1.2 PSV Eindhoven expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
RB Leipzig to win✓
66%
1.51
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.55
1.36
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
RB Leipzig ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT RB Leipzig / FT RB Leipzig✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.43
–
Form
RB Leipzig – last 6
WLWLLW
10 Oct
vs Eintracht Frankfurt
6–0
W
20 Sep
@ Bayer Leverkusen
0–2
L
13 Sep
vs Hamburger SV
5–0
W
10 Sep
@ Como
1–4
L
5 Sep
@ Werder Bremen
1–3
L
29 Aug
vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
3–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
PSV Eindhoven – last 6
WLWDWW
9 Oct
vs Heerenveen
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Twente
2–3
L
13 Sep
vs Sparta Rotterdam
4–1
W
10 Sep
vs Shakhtar Donetsk
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Ajax
3–1
W
30 Aug
@ Utrecht
6–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between RB Leipzig and PSV Eindhoven.
What is the prediction for RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven?
Our pick is RB Leipzig to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven?
On our numbers RB Leipzig have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 14% and PSV Eindhoven 20%.
How many goals will there be in RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven?
Our predicted score is RB Leipzig 2–1 PSV Eindhoven, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven?
RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Leipzig Red Bull Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
