The UEFA Champions League sees Lens take on Sporting CP on Tuesday 13 October, kicking off at 17:45 (WAT) at Stade Bollaert-Delelis. Lens are 33rd with 3 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while Sporting CP sit 10th on 9 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Lens's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Lyon 2–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Sporting CP's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat SC Braga 3–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Sporting CP arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.5 goals: 2.2 for Lens and 2.3 for Sporting CP. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score in 70% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lens 37%, draw 23%, Sporting CP 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 70% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.42, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lens 2–2 Sporting CP. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lens37%fair 2.74 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.50
Sporting CP41%fair 2.44 · @2.50
4.50Expected goals
2.19Lens xG
2.31Sporting CP xG
70%Both score
83%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–27%
1–26%
2–16%
1–16%
2–35%
3–25%
From our goals model: Lens 2.2 – 2.3 Sporting CP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting CP to win✓
41%
2.44
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
70%
1.42
1.53 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Sporting CP ahead at half-time✓
36%
2.79
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting CP / FT Sporting CP✓
26%
3.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
6%
15.41
–
Form
Lens – last 6
WLDWLL
9 Oct
vs Lyon
2–1
W
18 Sep
@ Monaco
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Le Mans
2–2
D
10 Sep
@ Slavia Praha
3–2
W
5 Sep
vs Lorient
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Strasbourg
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Sporting CP – last 6
WDDWWW
9 Oct
@ SC Braga
3–1
W
19 Sep
vs Arouca
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ Famalicao
1–1
D
9 Sep
vs Galatasaray
3–1
W
5 Sep
vs Nacional
2–0
W
28 Aug
@ Rio Ave
4–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lens and Sporting CP.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Lens vs Sporting CP?
On our numbers Lens have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sporting CP 41%.
How many goals will there be in Lens vs Sporting CP?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lens vs Sporting CP?
Our predicted score is Lens 2–2 Sporting CP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is Lens vs Sporting CP?
Lens vs Sporting CP (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Bollaert-Delelis.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
