Machida Zelvia vs Grulla Morioka prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.90 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.90Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMachida Zelvia to win ✓71% · @1.11
Double chanceMachida Zelvia or draw ✓89% · fair 1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.09
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✓10% · fair 10.17
Machida Zelvia vs Grulla Morioka preview and prediction
The match
Grulla Morioka travel to Machida GION Stadium in the Emperor Cup on Wednesday 26 August (10:30 WAT) to face Machida Zelvia.
Form guide
Machida Zelvia's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Urawa 3–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.8 for Machida Zelvia and 0.5 for Grulla Morioka. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 48%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.90, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Machida Zelvia 1–0 Grulla Morioka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Machida Zelvia71%fair 1.41 · @1.11
Draw18%fair 5.64 · @7.40
Grulla Morioka11%fair 8.94 · @18.50
2.31Expected goals
1.81Machida Zelvia xG
0.50Grulla Morioka xG
48%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–016%
0–010%
3–010%
1–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Machida Zelvia 1.8 – 0.5 Grulla Morioka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Machida Zelvia to win✓
71%
1.41
1.11
Double chance
Machida Zelvia or draw✓
89%
1.13
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.09
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.90 ▲
Half-time result
Machida Zelvia ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Machida Zelvia / FT Machida Zelvia✓
44%
2.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✓
10%
10.17
–
Form
Machida Zelvia – last 6
WWWWDW
23 Aug
vs Urawa
3–1
W
15 Aug
@ JEF United Chiba
4–0
W
8 Aug
@ FC Tokyo
5–1
W
18 Jul
vs Fujieda MYFC
2–1
W
6 Jun
vs Nagoya Grampus
0–0
D
22 May
vs Urawa
1–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Grulla Morioka – last 1
W
19 Aug
vs Sapporo University
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Machida Zelvia and Grulla Morioka.
What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia vs Grulla Morioka?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Machida Zelvia vs Grulla Morioka?
On our numbers Machida Zelvia have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Grulla Morioka 11%.
How many goals will there be in Machida Zelvia vs Grulla Morioka?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Machida Zelvia vs Grulla Morioka?
Our predicted score is Machida Zelvia 1–0 Grulla Morioka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Machida Zelvia vs Grulla Morioka?
Machida Zelvia vs Grulla Morioka (Emperor Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Machida GION Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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Ventforet Kofu3
Imabari4
Blaublitz Akita1
Iwaki0
Oita Trinita0
Jubilo Iwata0
Tegevajaro Miyazaki0
Montedio Yamagata3
Fujieda MYFC3
Omiya Ardija2
Vanraure Hachinohe0
Sagan Tosu4
Kataller Toyama0
Vegalta Sendai1
Tochigi City2