Value bet: Tegevajaro Miyazaki to win @ 3.15 – our chance 39% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTegevajaro Miyazaki to win ✗39% · @3.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.07
Jubilo Iwata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki preview and prediction
The match
Jubilo Iwata host Tegevajaro Miyazaki in the Emperor Cup on Wednesday 26 August, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Yamaha Stadium.
Form guide
Jubilo Iwata's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Tokushima Vortis 2–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Tegevajaro Miyazaki's last 5: DDLDW Most recently they drew with Shonan Bellmare 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Jubilo Iwata and 1.2 for Tegevajaro Miyazaki. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Tegevajaro Miyazaki to win at 3.15 – 39% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Jubilo Iwata 1–1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jubilo Iwata37%fair 2.72 · @2.18
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.20
Tegevajaro Miyazaki39%fair 2.55 · @3.15
2.42Expected goals
1.18Jubilo Iwata xG
1.23Tegevajaro Miyazaki xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Jubilo Iwata 1.2 – 1.2 Tegevajaro Miyazaki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tegevajaro Miyazaki to win✗
39%
2.55
3.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tegevajaro Miyazaki / FT Tegevajaro Miyazaki✗
21%
4.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.07
–
Form
Jubilo Iwata – last 6
WLDWLL
22 Aug
vs Tokushima Vortis
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Yokohama FC
1–3
L
8 Aug
vs Blaublitz Akita
1–1
D
23 May
@ Consadole Sapporo
1–0
W
16 May
vs Fujieda MYFC
0–3
L
10 May
@ Fukushima United
2–4
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tegevajaro Miyazaki – last 6
DDLDWL
22 Aug
vs Shonan Bellmare
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ Ventforet Kofu
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Yokohama FC
0–1
L
15 Jul
@ Yokohama F. Marinos
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs Ventforet Kofu
2–1
W
30 May
@ Kataller Toyama
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jubilo Iwata and Tegevajaro Miyazaki.
What is the prediction for Jubilo Iwata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Jubilo Iwata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?
On our numbers Jubilo Iwata have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tegevajaro Miyazaki 39%.
How many goals will there be in Jubilo Iwata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jubilo Iwata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?
Our predicted score is Jubilo Iwata 1–1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Jubilo Iwata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?
Jubilo Iwata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki (Emperor Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Yamaha Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.