Value bet: Omiya Ardija to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultOmiya Ardija to win ✓61% · @1.75
Double chanceOmiya Ardija or draw ✓84% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.79
Omiya Ardija vs Vanraure Hachinohe preview and prediction
The match
The Emperor Cup sees Omiya Ardija take on Vanraure Hachinohe on Wednesday 26 August, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at NACK5 Stadium Omiya.
Form guide
Omiya Ardija's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Consadole Sapporo 4–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Vanraure Hachinohe's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Vegalta Sendai 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Omiya Ardija arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Omiya Ardija and 0.7 for Vanraure Hachinohe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 51%.
Value angle: Omiya Ardija to win at 1.75 – 61% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Omiya Ardija 1–0 Vanraure Hachinohe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Omiya Ardija61%fair 1.63 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.50
Vanraure Hachinohe16%fair 6.45 · @4.33
2.47Expected goals
1.73Omiya Ardija xG
0.73Vanraure Hachinohe xG
51%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Omiya Ardija 1.7 – 0.7 Vanraure Hachinohe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Omiya Ardija to win✓
61%
1.63
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Omiya Ardija or draw✓
84%
1.18
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Omiya Ardija ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Omiya Ardija / FT Omiya Ardija✓
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.79
–
Form
Omiya Ardija – last 6
WWWDWL
22 Aug
@ Consadole Sapporo
4–1
W
15 Aug
@ Imabari
3–2
W
8 Aug
vs Albirex Niigata
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Urawa
2–2
D
6 Jun
vs Kochi United
2–1
W
30 May
@ Yokohama FC
1–2
L
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Vanraure Hachinohe – last 6
LLWDLD
22 Aug
vs Vegalta Sendai
0–2
L
15 Aug
@ Tochigi City
0–5
L
8 Aug
vs Kataller Toyama
2–0
W
16 Jul
@ Kawasaki Frontale
0–0
D
1 Jun
vs Fukushima United
0–1
L
24 May
vs Tochigi SC
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Omiya Ardija and Vanraure Hachinohe.
What is the prediction for Omiya Ardija vs Vanraure Hachinohe?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Omiya Ardija vs Vanraure Hachinohe?
On our numbers Omiya Ardija have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Vanraure Hachinohe 16%.
How many goals will there be in Omiya Ardija vs Vanraure Hachinohe?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Omiya Ardija vs Vanraure Hachinohe?
Our predicted score is Omiya Ardija 1–0 Vanraure Hachinohe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Omiya Ardija vs Vanraure Hachinohe?
Omiya Ardija vs Vanraure Hachinohe (Emperor Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at NACK5 Stadium Omiya.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.