Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Iwaki to win @ 1.94 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultIwaki to win ✗57% · @1.94
Double chanceIwaki or draw ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.43
Iwaki vs Oita Trinita preview and prediction
The match
The Emperor Cup sees Iwaki take on Oita Trinita on Wednesday 26 August, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Iwaki Greenfield.
Form guide
Iwaki's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Oita Trinita 1–4 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Oita Trinita's last 5: WDLWD Most recently they beat Iwaki 4–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 August 2026, finished Oita Trinita 4–1 Iwaki.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Iwaki and 0.9 for Oita Trinita. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Iwaki to win at 1.94 – 57% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Iwaki or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Iwaki 1–0 Oita Trinita. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Iwaki57%fair 1.75 · @1.94
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.30
Oita Trinita19%fair 5.14 · @3.65
2.55Expected goals
1.68Iwaki xG
0.87Oita Trinita xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Iwaki 1.7 – 0.9 Oita Trinita expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Iwaki or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Iwaki vs Oita Trinita?
On our numbers Iwaki have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Oita Trinita 19%.
How many goals will there be in Iwaki vs Oita Trinita?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Iwaki vs Oita Trinita?
Our predicted score is Iwaki 1–0 Oita Trinita, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Iwaki vs Oita Trinita?
Iwaki vs Oita Trinita (Emperor Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Iwaki Greenfield.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.