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Today's tips
Emperor Cup · Japan · Ekimae Real Estate Stadium

Sagan Tosu

LDWWL
4–0
FT

Kataller Toyama

WWLWL

Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama prediction & analysis

78%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultKataller Toyama to win ✗38% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.02

Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama preview and prediction

The match

Kataller Toyama travel to Ekimae Real Estate Stadium in the Emperor Cup on Wednesday 26 August (11:00 WAT) to face Sagan Tosu.

Form guide

Sagan Tosu's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Tochigi City 1–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Kataller Toyama's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Imabari 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Sagan Tosu and 1.2 for Kataller Toyama. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 54%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Sagan Tosu 1–1 Kataller Toyama. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Sagan Tosu37%fair 2.70 · @2.52
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.00
Kataller Toyama38%fair 2.67 · @2.80
2.38Expected goals
1.18Sagan Tosu xG
1.19Kataller Toyama xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Sagan Tosu 1.2 – 1.2 Kataller Toyama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKataller Toyama to win ✗38%2.672.80 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.871.85
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.491.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗58%1.741.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78%1.281.20
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kataller Toyama / FT Kataller Toyama ✗21%4.85–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11%9.02–

Form

Sagan Tosu – last 6

LDWWLW
22 Augvs Tochigi City1–3L
16 Aug@ Tokushima Vortis0–0D
8 Augvs Ventforet Kofu2–0W
6 Junvs Shonan Bellmare1–0W
30 May@ Tokushima Vortis1–3L
10 May@ Oita Trinita1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Kataller Toyama – last 6

WWLWLW
22 Augvs Imabari4–0W
15 Aug@ Blaublitz Akita4–0W
8 Aug@ Vanraure Hachinohe0–2L
30 Mayvs Tegevajaro Miyazaki1–0W
23 May@ Nara Club1–5L
10 May@ Ehime FC2–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sagan Tosu and Kataller Toyama.

Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama head-to-head page →

More Emperor Cup predictions

League hub
FT Machida Zelvia3 Grulla Morioka0 171%1.11X18%7.40211%18.50 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.90 ✓
FT Consadole Sapporo1 Ventforet Kofu3 143%1.98X22%3.20235%3.65 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✗
FT Imabari4 Blaublitz Akita1 138%2.74X24%3.10238%2.48 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✗
FT Iwaki0 Oita Trinita0 AET 2–0 157%1.94X24%3.30219%3.65 1XIwaki or draw 81%@1.25 ✓
FT Jubilo Iwata0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki0 AET 0–1 137%2.18X24%3.20239%3.15 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Montedio Yamagata3 Fujieda MYFC3 AET 3–5 145%2.24X22%3.20233%3.00 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✗
FT Omiya Ardija2 Vanraure Hachinohe0 161%1.75X23%3.50216%4.33 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT Vegalta Sendai1 Tochigi City2 156%1.94X23%3.30221%3.70 1XVegalta Sendai or draw 79%@1.25 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama?

On our numbers Sagan Tosu have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Kataller Toyama 38%.

How many goals will there be in Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama?

Our predicted score is Sagan Tosu 1–1 Kataller Toyama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama?

Sagan Tosu vs Kataller Toyama (Emperor Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.