Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
2
Value bet: Cosenza to win @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSorrento to win ✓40% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.50
Sorrento vs Cosenza preview and prediction
The match
The Coppa Italia Serie C sees Sorrento take on Cosenza on Wednesday 2 September, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani.
Form guide
Sorrento's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Crotone 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cosenza's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Potenza 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Sorrento arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 March 2026, finished Cosenza 3–2 Sorrento.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Sorrento and 1.0 for Cosenza. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 59% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sorrento 40%, draw 23%, Cosenza 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Cosenza to win at 3.10 – 38% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.27, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sorrento 1–1 Cosenza. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sorrento40%fair 2.53 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.40
Cosenza38%fair 2.64 · @3.10
2.06Expected goals
1.05Sorrento xG
1.01Cosenza xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–114%
1–013%
0–113%
0–013%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Sorrento 1.0 – 1.0 Cosenza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Sorrento vs Cosenza?
On our numbers Sorrento have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cosenza 38%.
How many goals will there be in Sorrento vs Cosenza?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sorrento vs Cosenza?
Our predicted score is Sorrento 1–1 Cosenza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Sorrento vs Cosenza?
Sorrento vs Cosenza (Coppa Italia Serie C) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Gubbio5
Vis Pesaro0
Guidonia Montecelio 1937
Latina
Athletic Carpi1
PRO Vercelli1
Arzignano Valchiampo2
Dolomiti Bellunesi2
Catania0
Savoia3
Team Altamura2
Sambenedettese2
Spezia3
Vado0