Coppa Italia Serie C · Italy · Stadio Sandro Cabassi
Athletic Carpi vs PRO Vercelli prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Athletic Carpi 1.7 – 1.6 PRO Vercelli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Athletic Carpi hold the edge on home soil with a 42% chance of winning, against 35% for PRO Vercelli.
Athletic Carpi have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.7 per game. PRO Vercelli have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. Athletic Carpi come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.3 goals (1.7 for Athletic Carpi, 1.6 for PRO Vercelli). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.33 is better than our fair price of 1.29, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Over 2.5 goals at 2.00 is our value angle (56% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Athletic Carpi to win ✗ | 42% | 2.37 | 2.05 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.83 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.33 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 56% | 1.80 | 2.00 ▲ |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.52 | 1.28 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 38% | 2.66 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Athletic Carpi / FT Athletic Carpi ✗ | 25% | 3.95 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.50 | – |
Form
Athletic Carpi – last 6
| 30 Aug | vs Juventus U23 | 3–3 | D |
| 21 Aug | @ Union Brescia | 1–3 | L |
| 15 Aug | vs Pianese | 3–2 | W |
| 9 Aug | @ Mantova | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Apr | @ Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 3–2 | W |
| 3 Apr | vs Pontedera | 2–0 | W |
PRO Vercelli – last 6
| 30 Aug | @ Arzignano Valchiampo | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Aug | vs Desenzano Calvina | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Aug | vs Pergolettese | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Jul | @ Pisa | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Jul | @ Monza | 3–4 | L |
| 19 Apr | vs Ospitaletto | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Athletic Carpi and PRO Vercelli.
More Coppa Italia Serie C predictions
League hub
Gubbio5
Vis Pesaro0
Guidonia Montecelio 1937
Latina
Arzignano Valchiampo2
Dolomiti Bellunesi2
Sorrento1
Cosenza0
Catania0
Savoia3
Team Altamura2
Sambenedettese2
Spezia3
Vado0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Athletic Carpi vs PRO Vercelli?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Athletic Carpi vs PRO Vercelli?
On our numbers Athletic Carpi have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and PRO Vercelli 35%.
How many goals will there be in Athletic Carpi vs PRO Vercelli?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Athletic Carpi vs PRO Vercelli?
Athletic Carpi vs PRO Vercelli (Coppa Italia Serie C) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Sandro Cabassi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.