Coppa Italia Serie C · Italy · Stadio Pietro Barbetti
Gubbio vs Vis Pesaro prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Gubbio 1.4 – 1.4 Vis Pesaro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Gubbio and Vis Pesaro on our numbers – 36% for the home side, 40% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Gubbio have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2 per game. Vis Pesaro have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.7 conceded. Gubbio come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.4 for Gubbio, 1.4 for Vis Pesaro). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 58%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (9%), 1–2 (9%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.30 is close to our fair price of 1.34.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Vis Pesaro to win ✗ | 40% | 2.50 | 2.20 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 58% | 1.72 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.34 | 1.30 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 50% | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 71% | 1.41 | 1.30 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 41% | 2.41 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Vis Pesaro / FT Vis Pesaro ✗ | 23% | 4.37 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.30 | – |
Form
Gubbio – last 6
| 30 Aug | vs Reggiana | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Aug | @ Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 0–3 | L |
| 14 Aug | @ Pineto | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Jul | vs Sporting Trestina | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Jul | @ Fiorentina | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Apr | vs Pineto | 2–0 | W |
Vis Pesaro – last 6
| 30 Aug | vs Perugia | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Aug | @ Pescara | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Aug | @ Perugia | 2–1 | W |
| 8 Aug | @ Modena | 0–0 | D |
| 5 Aug | @ Cesena | 0–3 | L |
| 31 Jul | vs Benevento | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gubbio and Vis Pesaro.
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Vado0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Gubbio vs Vis Pesaro?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Gubbio vs Vis Pesaro?
On our numbers Gubbio have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Vis Pesaro 40%.
How many goals will there be in Gubbio vs Vis Pesaro?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Gubbio vs Vis Pesaro?
Gubbio vs Vis Pesaro (Coppa Italia Serie C) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Pietro Barbetti.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.