Coppa Italia Serie C · Italy · Stadio Angelo Massimino
Catania vs Savoia prediction & analysis
Catania or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Draw @ 3.30 – our chance 54% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +79%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Catania 1.5 – 1.3 Savoia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Catania hold the edge on home soil with a 28% chance of winning, against 18% for Savoia, and a draw (54%) is a real possibility.
Catania have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 2.0 per game. Savoia have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 2.0 scored and 1.8 conceded. Savoia come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.5 for Catania, 1.3 for Savoia). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (9%), 2–1 (9%).
Our pick is Catania or draw at a 82% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is better than our fair price of 1.22, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Draw at 3.30 is our value angle (54% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Draw ✗ | 54% | 1.84 | 3.30 ▲ |
| Double chance | Catania or draw ✗ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.28 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 58% | 1.72 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.28 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 52% | 1.92 | 1.90 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.44 | 1.33 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 41% | 2.44 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Catania / FT Catania ✗ | 25% | 3.95 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–1 ✗ | 12% | 8.54 | – |
Form
Catania – last 6
| 29 Aug | @ SS Monopoli | 0–2 | L |
| 23 Aug | vs Inter U23 | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Aug | @ Parma | 0–2 | L |
| 8 Aug | @ Vicenza Virtus | 1–1 | D |
| 27 May | vs Ascoli | 2–1 | W |
| 24 May | @ Ascoli | 0–4 | L |
Savoia – last 6
| 29 Aug | vs Casertana | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Aug | @ AZ Picerno | 2–3 | L |
| 14 Aug | @ Casertana | 2–1 | W |
| 13 May | vs Scafatese | 1–4 | L |
| 3 May | vs Sancataldese | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Apr | @ AC Palermo | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Catania and Savoia.
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Vado0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Catania vs Savoia?
Our pick is Catania or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Catania vs Savoia?
On our numbers Catania have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 54% and Savoia 18%.
How many goals will there be in Catania vs Savoia?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Catania vs Savoia?
Catania vs Savoia (Coppa Italia Serie C) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Angelo Massimino.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.