Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNocerina to win ✗62% · @1.70
Double chanceNocerina or draw ✗81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Nocerina vs Gladiator preview and prediction
The match
Gladiator travel to face Nocerina in the Serie D Girone H on Sunday 25 October (15:00 WAT). Nocerina are 12th with 13 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Gladiator sit 7th on 18 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Nocerina's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Martina Franca 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Gladiator's last 5: DDDLW Most recently they drew with Real Normanna 3–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.1 for Nocerina and 1.0 for Gladiator. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 53%.
Our pre-match pick was Nocerina to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nocerina 2–1 Gladiator. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nocerina62%fair 1.61 · @1.70
Draw19%fair 5.27 · @3.75
Gladiator19%fair 5.30 · @3.80
3.11Expected goals
2.07Nocerina xG
1.03Gladiator xG
53%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–110%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Nocerina 2.1 – 1.0 Gladiator expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nocerina to win✗
62%
1.61
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Nocerina or draw✗
81%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Nocerina ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nocerina / FT Nocerina✗
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Form
Nocerina – last 6
LLDWWL
18 Oct
@ Martina Franca
0–2
L
11 Oct
vs Brindisi
0–1
L
7 Oct
vs Turris
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ Melfi
1–0
W
27 Sep
vs USD Palmese
3–0
W
20 Sep
@ Bisceglie
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Gladiator – last 6
DDDLWL
18 Oct
vs Real Normanna
3–3
D
11 Oct
@ Francavilla
1–1
D
4 Oct
vs Turris
1–1
D
27 Sep
@ Virtus Francavilla
1–2
L
20 Sep
vs Fidelis Andria
3–2
W
16 Sep
@ Real Forio 2014
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nocerina and Gladiator.
Our pick is Nocerina to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Nocerina vs Gladiator?
On our numbers Nocerina have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Gladiator 19%.
How many goals will there be in Nocerina vs Gladiator?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nocerina vs Gladiator?
Our predicted score is Nocerina 2–1 Gladiator, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Nocerina vs Gladiator?
Nocerina vs Gladiator (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
