Serie D Girone H · ItalyBisceglie vs Brindisi prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Fair pick · fair odds 1.95 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
Value bet: Brindisi to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Bisceglie 1.4 – 1.3 Brindisi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Bisceglie and Brindisi on our numbers – 40% for the home side, 37% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Bisceglie have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.2 per game. Brindisi have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.4 for Bisceglie, 1.3 for Brindisi). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 48%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (10%), 0–1 (9%).
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 51% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.85 is close to our fair price of 1.95. For a bigger price, Brindisi to win at 3.10 is our value angle (37% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Bisceglie to win ✗ | 40% | 2.47 | 2.05 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.36 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 51% | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.37 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.33 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Bisceglie / FT Bisceglie ✗ | 22% | 4.45 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 10% | 10.21 | – |
Form
Bisceglie – last 6
| 17 Oct | @ Melfi | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs USD Palmese | 3–2 | W |
| 7 Oct | @ Fidelis Andria | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Oct | @ Manfredonia | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Ischia | 3–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Nocerina | 3–1 | W |
Brindisi – last 6
| 18 Oct | vs Nardò | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Nocerina | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | vs Real Normanna | 3–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ Francavilla | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Turris | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Sep | @ Virtus Francavilla | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bisceglie and Brindisi.
Serie D Girone H table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Virtus Francavilla | 11 | +9 | 27 |
| 2 |  Martina Franca | 11 | +9 | 22 |
| 3 |  Brindisi | 11 | +6 | 21 |
| 4 |  Gravina | 11 | +7 | 20 |
| 5 |  Turris | 11 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 |  Manfredonia | 11 | +4 | 18 |
| 7 |  Gladiator | 11 | +1 | 18 |
| 8 |  Fidelis Andria | 11 | +1 | 17 |
| 9 |  Bisceglie | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 |  USD Palmese | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Real Normanna | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 |  Nocerina | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Real Forio 2014 | 11 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 |  Melfi | 11 | -8 | 11 |
| 15 |  Ebolitana | 11 | -8 | 10 |
| 16 |  Ischia | 11 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 |  Francavilla | 11 | -6 | 8 |
| 18 |  Nardò | 11 | -9 | 7 |
More Serie D Girone H predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Bisceglie vs Brindisi?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Bisceglie vs Brindisi?
On our numbers Bisceglie have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Brindisi 37%.
How many goals will there be in Bisceglie vs Brindisi?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
When is Bisceglie vs Brindisi?
Bisceglie vs Brindisi (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.