Serie D Girone H · ItalyIschia vs Martina Franca prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Martina Franca to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Ischia 0.9 – 1.9 Martina Franca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Martina Franca travel as clear favourites – 62% to win, against 18% for Ischia.
Ischia have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.8 per game. Martina Franca have 15 points from their last 6 (5W 0D 1L), averaging 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. Martina Franca come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (0.9 for Ischia, 1.9 for Martina Franca). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (11%), 0–2 (11%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.30. For a bigger price, Martina Franca to win at 1.95 is our value angle (62% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Martina Franca to win ✗ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Martina Franca or draw ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 57% | 1.75 | 1.74 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.22 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.85 | 1.74 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.49 | 1.37 |
| Half-time result | Martina Franca ahead at half-time ✓ | 44% | 2.25 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Martina Franca / FT Martina Franca ✗ | 39% | 2.57 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 11% | 9.07 | – |
Form
Ischia – last 6
| 18 Oct | @ Manfredonia | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Melfi | 3–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | vs Ebolitana | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | @ Bisceglie | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Nardò | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Sep | @ Nocerina | 2–3 | L |
Martina Franca – last 6
| 18 Oct | vs Nocerina | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Ebolitana | 2–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | vs Francavilla | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ Nardò | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Virtus Francavilla | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Sep | @ Real Normanna | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ischia and Martina Franca.
Serie D Girone H table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Virtus Francavilla | 11 | +9 | 27 |
| 2 |  Martina Franca | 11 | +9 | 22 |
| 3 |  Brindisi | 11 | +6 | 21 |
| 4 |  Gravina | 11 | +7 | 20 |
| 5 |  Turris | 11 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 |  Manfredonia | 11 | +4 | 18 |
| 7 |  Gladiator | 11 | +1 | 18 |
| 8 |  Fidelis Andria | 11 | +1 | 17 |
| 9 |  Bisceglie | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 |  USD Palmese | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Real Normanna | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 |  Nocerina | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Real Forio 2014 | 11 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 |  Melfi | 11 | -8 | 11 |
| 15 |  Ebolitana | 11 | -8 | 10 |
| 16 |  Ischia | 11 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 |  Francavilla | 11 | -6 | 8 |
| 18 |  Nardò | 11 | -9 | 7 |
More Serie D Girone H predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Ischia vs Martina Franca?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ischia vs Martina Franca?
On our numbers Ischia have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Martina Franca 62%.
How many goals will there be in Ischia vs Martina Franca?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Ischia vs Martina Franca?
Ischia vs Martina Franca (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.