Serie D Girone H · Italy · Stadio Giovanni Paolo IIVirtus Francavilla vs Manfredonia prediction & analysis
Virtus Francavilla to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Virtus Francavilla 1.9 – 0.9 Manfredonia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Virtus Francavilla hold the edge on home soil with a 60% chance of winning, against 17% for Manfredonia.
Virtus Francavilla have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.3 per game. Manfredonia have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.9 for Virtus Francavilla, 0.9 for Manfredonia). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 47%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (12%), 2–0 (11%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Virtus Francavilla to win at a 60% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.70 is close to our fair price of 1.67.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Virtus Francavilla to win ✓ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.70 |
| Double chance | Virtus Francavilla or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.90 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 50% | 1.99 | 1.95 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.42 | – |
| Half-time result | Virtus Francavilla ahead at half-time ✓ | 43% | 2.31 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Virtus Francavilla / FT Virtus Francavilla ✓ | 38% | 2.63 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.40 | – |
Form
Virtus Francavilla – last 6
| 18 Oct | @ Fidelis Andria | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Real Forio 2014 | 2–0 | W |
| 7 Oct | vs Gravina | 3–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | @ Gravina | 2–4 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Gladiator | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Martina Franca | 2–1 | W |
Manfredonia – last 6
| 18 Oct | vs Ischia | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Turris | 0–3 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Bisceglie | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ Real Forio 2014 | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Ebolitana | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | @ Fidelis Andria | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Virtus Francavilla and Manfredonia.
Serie D Girone H table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Virtus Francavilla | 11 | +9 | 27 |
| 2 |  Martina Franca | 11 | +9 | 22 |
| 3 |  Brindisi | 11 | +6 | 21 |
| 4 |  Gravina | 11 | +7 | 20 |
| 5 |  Turris | 11 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 |  Manfredonia | 11 | +4 | 18 |
| 7 |  Gladiator | 11 | +1 | 18 |
| 8 |  Fidelis Andria | 11 | +1 | 17 |
| 9 |  Bisceglie | 11 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 |  USD Palmese | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Real Normanna | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 |  Nocerina | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 |  Real Forio 2014 | 11 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 |  Melfi | 11 | -8 | 11 |
| 15 |  Ebolitana | 11 | -8 | 10 |
| 16 |  Ischia | 11 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 |  Francavilla | 11 | -6 | 8 |
| 18 |  Nardò | 11 | -9 | 7 |
More Serie D Girone H predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Virtus Francavilla vs Manfredonia?
Our pick is Virtus Francavilla to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Virtus Francavilla vs Manfredonia?
On our numbers Virtus Francavilla have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Manfredonia 17%.
How many goals will there be in Virtus Francavilla vs Manfredonia?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
When is Virtus Francavilla vs Manfredonia?
Virtus Francavilla vs Manfredonia (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giovanni Paolo II.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.