Value bet: Scandicci to win @ 2.15 – our chance 49% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultScandicci to win ✓49% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.90
Sasso Marconi Zola vs Scandicci preview and prediction
The match
Scandicci travel to face Sasso Marconi Zola in the Serie D Girone E on Sunday 4 October (14:00 WAT). Sasso Marconi Zola are 13th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Scandicci sit 11th on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Sasso Marconi Zola's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Gavorrano 1–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Scandicci's last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with Ternana 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Scandicci arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Sasso Marconi Zola and 1.5 for Scandicci. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 47%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Scandicci to win at 2.15 – 49% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 54% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Sasso Marconi Zola 1–1 Scandicci. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sasso Marconi Zola28%fair 3.52 · @3.10
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.10
Scandicci49%fair 2.02 · @2.15
2.61Expected goals
1.08Sasso Marconi Zola xG
1.53Scandicci xG
47%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Sasso Marconi Zola 1.1 – 1.5 Scandicci expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Scandicci to win✓
49%
2.02
2.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Scandicci / FT Scandicci✗
29%
3.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.90
–
Form
Sasso Marconi Zola – last 6
LLDLWD
27 Sep
@ Gavorrano
1–2
L
20 Sep
vs Prato
0–1
L
16 Sep
@ Flaminia
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs San Donato Tavarnelle
1–3
L
6 Sep
@ Terranuova Traiana
2–1
W
10 May
@ Imolese
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Scandicci – last 6
DWWLDD
27 Sep
vs Ternana
0–0
D
20 Sep
@ Grassina
3–2
W
16 Sep
vs Rondinella
3–0
W
12 Sep
@ Progresso
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Robur Siena
1–1
D
26 Aug
@ Sangiovannese
3–3
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sasso Marconi Zola and Scandicci.
What is the prediction for Sasso Marconi Zola vs Scandicci?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Sasso Marconi Zola vs Scandicci?
On our numbers Sasso Marconi Zola have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Scandicci 49%.
How many goals will there be in Sasso Marconi Zola vs Scandicci?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sasso Marconi Zola vs Scandicci?
Our predicted score is Sasso Marconi Zola 1–1 Scandicci, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sasso Marconi Zola vs Scandicci?
Sasso Marconi Zola vs Scandicci (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
