San Donato Tavarnelle vs Mezzolara prediction & analysis
60%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Donato Tavarnelle to win ✗45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.61
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Mezzolara preview and prediction
The match
San Donato Tavarnelle host Mezzolara in the Serie D Girone E on Sunday 4 October, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT). San Donato Tavarnelle are 12th with 14 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Mezzolara sit 14th on 11 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
San Donato Tavarnelle's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Flaminia 1–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Mezzolara's last 5: DDWLD Most recently they drew with Grassina 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for San Donato Tavarnelle and 1.0 for Mezzolara. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 44%.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Donato Tavarnelle 45%, draw 22%, Mezzolara 32%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: San Donato Tavarnelle 1–0 Mezzolara. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Donato Tavarnelle45%fair 2.20 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.10
Mezzolara32%fair 3.09 · @3.20
2.26Expected goals
1.26San Donato Tavarnelle xG
1.00Mezzolara xG
44%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: San Donato Tavarnelle 1.3 – 1.0 Mezzolara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Donato Tavarnelle to win✗
45%
2.20
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Donato Tavarnelle / FT San Donato Tavarnelle✗
24%
4.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.61
–
Form
San Donato Tavarnelle – last 6
LLDWWD
27 Sep
@ Flaminia
1–2
L
20 Sep
vs Gavorrano
0–2
L
16 Sep
@ Terranuova Traiana
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Sasso Marconi Zola
3–1
W
6 Sep
vs Seravezza
2–1
W
23 Aug
@ Robur Siena
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mezzolara – last 5
DDWLD
27 Sep
vs Grassina
0–0
D
20 Sep
@ Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
1–1
D
16 Sep
vs Ternana
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Robur Siena
0–3
L
6 Sep
vs Rondinella
0–0
D
0.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Donato Tavarnelle and Mezzolara.
What is the prediction for San Donato Tavarnelle vs Mezzolara?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win San Donato Tavarnelle vs Mezzolara?
On our numbers San Donato Tavarnelle have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mezzolara 32%.
How many goals will there be in San Donato Tavarnelle vs Mezzolara?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Donato Tavarnelle vs Mezzolara?
Our predicted score is San Donato Tavarnelle 1–0 Mezzolara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is San Donato Tavarnelle vs Mezzolara?
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Mezzolara (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
