Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPro Sesto to win ✓66% · @1.57
Double chancePro Sesto or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.76
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.39
Pro Sesto vs Oltrepò preview and prediction
The match
Pro Sesto host Oltrepò in the Serie D Girone D on Sunday 27 September, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadio Ernesto Breda. Pro Sesto are 6th with 18 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Oltrepò sit 18th on 5 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Pro Sesto's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Crema 3–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Oltrepò's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Coriano 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Pro Sesto arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Pro Sesto and 0.7 for Oltrepò. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 43%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pro Sesto 66%, draw 20%, Oltrepò 14%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Pro Sesto to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Pro Sesto 1–0 Oltrepò. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pro Sesto66%fair 1.52 · @1.57
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.75
Oltrepò14%fair 7.14 · @4.75
2.65Expected goals
1.91Pro Sesto xG
0.73Oltrepò xG
43%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Pro Sesto 1.9 – 0.7 Oltrepò expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pro Sesto to win✓
66%
1.52
1.57
Double chance
Pro Sesto or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Pro Sesto ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pro Sesto / FT Pro Sesto✓
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.39
–
Form
Pro Sesto – last 6
WWWLLW
20 Sep
@ Crema
3–0
W
16 Sep
vs Pontedera
3–0
W
13 Sep
@ Città di Varese
2–0
W
6 Sep
vs Lentigione
2–3
L
3 May
@ Correggese
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Tuttocuoio
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Oltrepò – last 6
LWLWWL
20 Sep
vs Coriano
0–1
L
16 Sep
@ Castellanzese
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Pro Patria
1–2
L
3 May
vs Brusaporto
2–1
W
26 Apr
@ Villa Valle
3–1
W
19 Apr
vs Sondrio
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pro Sesto and Oltrepò.
Our pick is Pro Sesto to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Pro Sesto vs Oltrepò?
On our numbers Pro Sesto have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Oltrepò 14%.
How many goals will there be in Pro Sesto vs Oltrepò?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pro Sesto vs Oltrepò?
Our predicted score is Pro Sesto 1–0 Oltrepò, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Pro Sesto vs Oltrepò?
Pro Sesto vs Oltrepò (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ernesto Breda.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
