Double chanceCastellanzese or draw ✓81% · fair 1.24
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.42
Castellanzese vs Crema preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone D sees Castellanzese take on Crema on Sunday 27 September, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT). Castellanzese are 4th with 19 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Crema sit 10th on 15 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Castellanzese's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Solbiatese 4–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Crema's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Pro Sesto 0–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Castellanzese arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Castellanzese and 0.8 for Crema. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 46%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.27. Predicted score: Castellanzese 1–0 Crema. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Castellanzese59%fair 1.70 · @1.77
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.45
Crema19%fair 5.16 · @4.24
2.53Expected goals
1.69Castellanzese xG
0.84Crema xG
46%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Castellanzese 1.7 – 0.8 Crema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Castellanzese to win✓
59%
1.70
1.77
Double chance
Castellanzese or draw✓
81%
1.24
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.84
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.27
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Castellanzese / FT Castellanzese✓
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.42
–
Form
Castellanzese – last 6
WLLWLD
20 Sep
@ Solbiatese
4–1
W
16 Sep
vs Oltrepò
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Lentigione
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Pontedera
3–1
W
10 May
vs Varesina
1–2
L
3 May
@ Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Crema – last 6
LLLDWL
20 Sep
vs Pro Sesto
0–3
L
16 Sep
@ Pro Patria
0–2
L
13 Sep
vs Pistoiese
1–3
L
6 Sep
@ Pavia
0–0
D
10 May
vs Coriano
2–0
W
3 May
@ Piacenza
1–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Castellanzese and Crema.
What is the prediction for Castellanzese vs Crema?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Castellanzese vs Crema?
On our numbers Castellanzese have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Crema 19%.
How many goals will there be in Castellanzese vs Crema?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Castellanzese vs Crema?
Our predicted score is Castellanzese 1–0 Crema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Castellanzese vs Crema?
Castellanzese vs Crema (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
