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Pistoiese vs Sant'Angelo prediction & analysis

71%
Footrivo pick

Pistoiese to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.22Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultPistoiese to win ✓71% · @1.22
Double chancePistoiese or draw ✓89% · @1.02
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗15% · fair 6.77

Pistoiese vs Sant'Angelo preview and prediction

The match

The Serie D Girone D sees Pistoiese take on Sant'Angelo on Sunday 27 September, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT). Pistoiese are 1st with 28 points from 11 games (top of the table), while Sant'Angelo sit 9th on 15 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Pistoiese's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Varesina 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Sant'Angelo's last 5: DWDDD Most recently they drew with Pavia 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.

Pistoiese arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 29 March 2026, finished Sant'Angelo 1–3 Pistoiese.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 2.0 for Pistoiese and 0.6 for Sant'Angelo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 42%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Pistoiese to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Pistoiese 2–0 Sant'Angelo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Pistoiese71%fair 1.41 · @1.22
Draw19%fair 5.37 · @5.00
Sant'Angelo11%fair 9.48 · @11.00
2.61Expected goals
2.00Pistoiese xG
0.61Sant'Angelo xG
42%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–015%
1–015%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%

From our goals model: Pistoiese 2.0 – 0.6 Sant'Angelo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPistoiese to win ✓71%1.411.22
Double chancePistoiese or draw ✓89%1.121.02
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓58%1.73–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.951.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.36–
Half-time resultPistoiese ahead at half-time ✓50%2.02–
Half-time / full-timeHT Pistoiese / FT Pistoiese ✓46%2.18–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗15%6.77–

Form

Pistoiese – last 6

WWWWDD
20 Sep@ Varesina1–0W
16 Sepvs Arconatese5–0W
13 Sep@ Crema3–1W
6 Sepvs Solbiatese2–0W
14 Aug@ Seravezza0–0D
10 Mayvs Piacenza1–1D
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Sant'Angelo – last 6

DWDDDD
20 Sepvs Pavia0–0D
16 Sep@ USD Casatese2–1W
13 Sepvs Varesina1–1D
6 Sep@ Correggese1–1D
3 May@ Lentigione2–2D
26 Aprvs Progresso1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Mar 2026Sant'Angelo v Pistoiese1–3

Serie D Girone D table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pistoiese11911+1928
2Lentigione11731+824
3Pro Patria11632+721
4Castellanzese11614+819
5USD Casatese11614+119
6Pro Sesto11533+1218
7Cittadella Vis Modena11524+317
8Solbiatese11452+217
9Sant'Angelo11434015
10Crema11434-315
11Città di Varese11353+414
12Pavia11353+314
13Correggese11335-712
14Varesina11254-211
15Coriano11236-59
16Pontedera11218-167
17Arconatese11137-156
18Oltrepò11128-195

More Serie D Girone D predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pistoiese vs Sant'Angelo?

Our pick is Pistoiese to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Pistoiese vs Sant'Angelo?

On our numbers Pistoiese have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sant'Angelo 11%.

How many goals will there be in Pistoiese vs Sant'Angelo?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Pistoiese vs Sant'Angelo?

Our predicted score is Pistoiese 2–0 Sant'Angelo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Pistoiese vs Sant'Angelo?

Pistoiese vs Sant'Angelo (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.