Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultÁguilas to win ✓58% · @1.65
Double chanceÁguilas or draw ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓62% · fair 1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓65% · @1.73
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓22% · fair 4.53
Águilas vs Lorca Deportiva preview and prediction
The match
The Friendlies Clubs sees Águilas take on Lorca Deportiva on Saturday 15 August, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Águilas's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Poblense 0–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lorca Deportiva's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Deportiva Minera 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Águilas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.3 for Águilas and 0.5 for Lorca Deportiva. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Águilas 1–0 Lorca Deportiva. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Águilas58%fair 1.71 · @1.65
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.40
Lorca Deportiva16%fair 6.17 · @4.50
1.75Expected goals
1.27Águilas xG
0.48Lorca Deportiva xG
38%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
0–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: Águilas 1.3 – 0.5 Lorca Deportiva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Águilas to win✓
58%
1.71
1.65
Double chance
Águilas or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.73 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Águilas / FT Águilas✓
33%
3.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
22%
4.53
–
Form
Águilas – last 6
DWWLWW
24 May
vs Poblense
0–0
D
17 May
vs Utebo
2–1
W
3 May
vs Almería II
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Estepona
1–2
L
12 Apr
@ Melilla
1–0
W
5 Apr
vs Xerez Deportivo
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lorca Deportiva – last 6
LDDLLW
3 May
@ Deportiva Minera
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Yeclano
2–2
D
5 Apr
@ Almería II
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Melilla
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Estepona
0–2
L
8 Mar
vs Xerez Deportivo
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Águilas and Lorca Deportiva.
What is the prediction for Águilas vs Lorca Deportiva?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Águilas vs Lorca Deportiva?
On our numbers Águilas have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lorca Deportiva 16%.
How many goals will there be in Águilas vs Lorca Deportiva?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Águilas vs Lorca Deportiva?
Our predicted score is Águilas 1–0 Lorca Deportiva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Águilas vs Lorca Deportiva?
Águilas vs Lorca Deportiva (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Gimnástica Segoviana0
Unionistas de Salamanca1
Werder Bremen0
Auxerre1
Chelsea3
Real Sociedad1
Bayern München3
RB Leipzig1
Borussia Mönchengladbach2
Aston Villa1
Union Berlin2
Ipswich4
Leeds4
FC Augsburg0
Hull City0
Nice0