Value bet: Borussia Mönchengladbach to win @ 3.00 – our chance 42% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBorussia Mönchengladbach to win ✓42% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.33
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓7% · fair 13.65
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Aston Villa preview and prediction
The match
The Friendlies Clubs sees Borussia Mönchengladbach take on Aston Villa on Saturday 15 August, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Borussia Mönchengladbach's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat SSVg Velbert 8–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 4.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Aston Villa's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Paris Saint Germain 1–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Borussia Mönchengladbach arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 2.1 for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 2.0 for Aston Villa. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score in 69% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Borussia Mönchengladbach 42%, draw 21%, Aston Villa 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.33.
Value angle: Borussia Mönchengladbach to win at 3.00 – 42% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–1 Aston Villa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Borussia Mönchengladbach42%fair 2.39 · @3.00
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @4.10
Aston Villa38%fair 2.66 · @2.04
4.10Expected goals
2.11Borussia Mönchengladbach xG
2.00Aston Villa xG
69%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–17%
2–27%
1–17%
1–27%
3–15%
3–25%
From our goals model: Borussia Mönchengladbach 2.1 – 2.0 Aston Villa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Borussia Mönchengladbach to win✓
42%
2.39
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.46
1.33
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.93
Half-time result
Borussia Mönchengladbach ahead at half-time✓
35%
2.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Borussia Mönchengladbach / FT Borussia Mönchengladbach✓
26%
3.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
7%
13.65
–
Form
Borussia Mönchengladbach – last 6
WWWWWW
12 Aug
@ SSVg Velbert
8–0
W
1 Aug
@ Hansa Rostock
3–1
W
25 Jul
@ Rot-Weiß Essen
2–1
W
18 Jul
@ Wuppertaler SV
6–0
W
20 May
@ Spelle-Venhaus
6–2
W
13 Mar
vs FC St. Pauli
2–0
W
4.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Aston Villa – last 6
LLWLLW
12 Aug
@ Paris Saint Germain
1–2
L
7 Aug
@ Bayern München
1–2
L
4 Aug
@ BG Pathum United
3–1
W
28 Jul
vs Real Sociedad
2–4
L
25 Jul
@ FC Porto
1–2
L
21 Jul
@ Walsall
5–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Borussia Mönchengladbach and Aston Villa.
What is the prediction for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Aston Villa?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Aston Villa?
On our numbers Borussia Mönchengladbach have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Aston Villa 38%.
How many goals will there be in Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Aston Villa?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Aston Villa?
Our predicted score is Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–1 Aston Villa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Aston Villa?
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Aston Villa (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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