Wednesday, 11 November 2026 1 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Today's tips
Friendlies Clubs · World · Stamford Bridge

Chelsea

DWLLW
3–1
FT

Real Sociedad

LLWWD

Chelsea vs Real Sociedad prediction & analysis

68%
Footrivo pick

Chelsea to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.58 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.58Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultChelsea to win ✓68% · @1.58
Double chanceChelsea or draw ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.48
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.63

Chelsea vs Real Sociedad preview and prediction

The match

The Friendlies Clubs sees Chelsea take on Real Sociedad on Saturday 15 August, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stamford Bridge.

Form guide

Chelsea's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Johor Darul Takzim FC 3–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.

Real Sociedad's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to 1. FC Köln 1–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.5 for Chelsea and 1.0 for Real Sociedad. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Chelsea to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.58, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Chelsea 2–1 Real Sociedad. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Chelsea68%fair 1.48 · @1.58
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @4.40
Real Sociedad12%fair 8.08 · @4.80
3.55Expected goals
2.51Chelsea xG
1.05Real Sociedad xG
64%Both score
67%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–08%
1–17%
1–07%

From our goals model: Chelsea 2.5 – 1.0 Real Sociedad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChelsea to win ✓68%1.481.58 ▲
Double chanceChelsea or draw ✓88%1.141.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.551.48
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.171.13
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67%1.491.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗54%1.861.70
Half-time resultChelsea ahead at half-time ✗52%1.94–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chelsea / FT Chelsea ✗46%2.15–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.63–

Form

Chelsea – last 6

DWLLWL
9 Aug@ Johor Darul Takzim FC3–3D
8 Augvs AC Milan3–0W
5 Augvs Juventus0–1L
1 Augvs Tottenham1–2L
28 Julvs Western Sydney Wanderers6–4W
24 May@ Sunderland1–2L
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Real Sociedad – last 6

LLWWDL
8 Aug@ 1. FC Köln1–2L
31 Jul@ Toulouse1–2L
28 Jul@ Aston Villa4–2W
25 Jul@ Wolves2–1W
18 Julvs Racing Santander1–1D
11 Julvs PAU0–1L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Chelsea and Real Sociedad.

Chelsea vs Real Sociedad head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

League hub
FT Gimnástica Segoviana0 Unionistas de Salamanca1 121%3.30X20%3.30260%1.95 2Unionistas de Salamanca to win 60%@1.95 ✓
FT Werder Bremen0 Auxerre1 152%1.97X19%3.85229%3.35 GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.42 ✗
FT Bayern München3 RB Leipzig1 170%1.35X18%5.40212%7.00 1Bayern München to win 70%@1.35 ✓
FT Borussia Mönchengladbach2 Aston Villa1 142%3.00X21%4.10238%2.04 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 74%@1.36 ✓
FT Union Berlin2 Ipswich4 136%2.70X22%3.65241%2.35 GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.44 ✓
FT Leeds4 FC Augsburg0 164%1.80X19%3.60216%3.60 1XLeeds or draw 84%@1.25 ✓
FT Hull City0 Nice0 145%2.04X19%3.75236%3.20 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✗
FT Sunderland2 Rennes1 145%2.28X20%3.65234%2.80 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 83%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chelsea vs Real Sociedad?

Our pick is Chelsea to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.58.

Who will win Chelsea vs Real Sociedad?

On our numbers Chelsea have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Real Sociedad 12%.

How many goals will there be in Chelsea vs Real Sociedad?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Real Sociedad?

Our predicted score is Chelsea 2–1 Real Sociedad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Chelsea vs Real Sociedad?

Chelsea vs Real Sociedad (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stamford Bridge.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.