Bayern München vs RB Leipzig preview and prediction
The match
RB Leipzig travel to Allianz Arena in the Friendlies Clubs on Saturday 15 August (14:30 WAT) to face Bayern München.
Form guide
Bayern München's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat Aston Villa 2–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
RB Leipzig's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Leeds 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.5 for Bayern München and 1.0 for RB Leipzig. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bayern München 70%, draw 18%, RB Leipzig 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.38.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bayern München to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Bayern München 2–0 RB Leipzig. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bayern München70%fair 1.42 · @1.35
Draw18%fair 5.64 · @5.40
RB Leipzig12%fair 8.40 · @7.00
3.52Expected goals
2.53Bayern München xG
0.98RB Leipzig xG
63%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–19%
3–08%
3–18%
1–08%
1–17%
From our goals model: Bayern München 2.5 – 1.0 RB Leipzig expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bayern München to win✓
70%
1.42
1.35
Double chance
Bayern München or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.09
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.38
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
1.07
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.65
Half-time result
Bayern München ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bayern München / FT Bayern München✓
48%
2.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
10.48
–
Form
Bayern München – last 6
WWLDLW
7 Aug
vs Aston Villa
2–1
W
4 Aug
@ Jeju United FC
2–1
W
25 Jul
@ SV Wehen
1–2
L
6 May
vs Paris Saint Germain
1–1
D
28 Apr
@ Paris Saint Germain
4–5
L
22 Apr
@ Bayer Leverkusen
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
RB Leipzig – last 6
LWWWLW
8 Aug
@ Leeds
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs Verl
4–0
W
25 Jul
vs FC Ingolstadt 04
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ Altglienicke
2–1
W
29 May
@ Mamelodi Sundowns
1–3
L
24 Apr
vs Union Berlin
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bayern München and RB Leipzig.
What is the prediction for Bayern München vs RB Leipzig?
Our pick is Bayern München to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Bayern München vs RB Leipzig?
On our numbers Bayern München have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 18% and RB Leipzig 12%.
How many goals will there be in Bayern München vs RB Leipzig?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bayern München vs RB Leipzig?
Our predicted score is Bayern München 2–0 RB Leipzig, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Bayern München vs RB Leipzig?
Bayern München vs RB Leipzig (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Gimnástica Segoviana0
Unionistas de Salamanca1
Werder Bremen0
Auxerre1
Chelsea3
Real Sociedad1
Borussia Mönchengladbach2
Aston Villa1
Union Berlin2
Ipswich4
Leeds4
FC Augsburg0
Hull City0
Nice0
Sunderland2
Rennes1