Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Leeds to win @ 1.80 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeeds to win ✓64% · @1.80
Double chanceLeeds or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗72% · @1.44
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–2 ✗6% · fair 17.44
Leeds vs FC Augsburg preview and prediction
The match
FC Augsburg travel to face Leeds in the Friendlies Clubs on Saturday 15 August (15:00 WAT).
Form guide
Leeds's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Manchester United 1–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
FC Augsburg's last 5: WWLDD Most recently they beat Sassuolo 3–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 4.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 5.7 goals: 3.6 for Leeds and 2.1 for FC Augsburg. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 92% and both teams to score at 72%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Leeds 64%, draw 19%, FC Augsburg 16%.
Safer route: Leeds or draw (84%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (72%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Leeds to win at 1.80 – 64% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Leeds or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.20, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Leeds 3–2 FC Augsburg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leeds64%fair 1.56 · @1.80
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @3.60
FC Augsburg16%fair 6.13 · @3.60
5.67Expected goals
3.61Leeds xG
2.06FC Augsburg xG
72%Both score
92%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–26%
3–16%
4–25%
4–15%
2–25%
2–15%
From our goals model: Leeds 3.6 – 2.1 FC Augsburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leeds to win✓
64%
1.56
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Leeds or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
72%
1.39
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
98%
1.02
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Leeds ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leeds / FT Leeds✓
46%
2.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–2✗
6%
17.44
–
Form
Leeds – last 6
DWWWLL
12 Aug
vs Manchester United
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs RB Leipzig
2–0
W
2 Aug
@ Liverpool
4–2
W
31 Jul
@ Sunderland
1–0
W
26 Jul
@ Wrexham
2–3
L
24 May
@ West Ham
0–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC Augsburg – last 6
WWLDDW
8 Aug
vs Sassuolo
3–2
W
5 Aug
@ Schwaz
15–0
W
30 Jul
vs Bournemouth
2–5
L
25 Jul
vs FC Saarbrücken
1–1
D
10 Apr
vs 1899 Hoffenheim
2–2
D
27 Feb
vs 1. FC Köln
2–0
W
4.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leeds and FC Augsburg.
Our pick is Leeds or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Leeds vs FC Augsburg?
On our numbers Leeds have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and FC Augsburg 16%.
How many goals will there be in Leeds vs FC Augsburg?
We expect about 5.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 92% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leeds vs FC Augsburg?
Our predicted score is Leeds 3–2 FC Augsburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.7 goals in total.
When is Leeds vs FC Augsburg?
Leeds vs FC Augsburg (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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Chelsea3
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RB Leipzig1
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Aston Villa1
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Nice0
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