Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.74
Lecco vs Desenzano Calvina preview and prediction
The match
Lecco host Desenzano Calvina in the Coppa Italia Serie C on Sunday 16 August, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi.
Form guide
Lecco's last 5: LLDDD Most recently they lost to Atalanta II 2–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Desenzano Calvina's last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to Scafatese 0–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Lecco and 0.7 for Desenzano Calvina. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 49%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Lecco 1–0 Desenzano Calvina. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lecco63%fair 1.58 · @1.53
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.60
Desenzano Calvina14%fair 7.33 · @5.50
2.49Expected goals
1.79Lecco xG
0.70Desenzano Calvina xG
49%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Lecco 1.8 – 0.7 Desenzano Calvina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lecco to win✗
63%
1.58
1.53
Double chance
Lecco or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Half-time result
Lecco ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lecco / FT Lecco✗
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.74
–
Form
Lecco – last 6
LLDDDW
8 Aug
vs Atalanta II
2–3
L
2 Aug
@ Hellas Verona
0–3
L
20 May
@ Catania
3–3
D
17 May
vs Catania
0–0
D
13 May
vs Pianese
1–1
D
6 May
vs Giana Erminio
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Desenzano Calvina – last 6
LDLWDW
31 May
@ Scafatese
0–1
L
24 May
vs Scafatese
1–1
D
17 May
vs Grosseto
0–1
L
3 May
@ Sangiuliano City
5–0
W
26 Apr
vs Pistoiese
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Imolese
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lecco and Desenzano Calvina.
What is the prediction for Lecco vs Desenzano Calvina?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Lecco vs Desenzano Calvina?
On our numbers Lecco have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Desenzano Calvina 14%.
How many goals will there be in Lecco vs Desenzano Calvina?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lecco vs Desenzano Calvina?
Our predicted score is Lecco 1–0 Desenzano Calvina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Lecco vs Desenzano Calvina?
Lecco vs Desenzano Calvina (Coppa Italia Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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