Value bet: Sorrento to win @ 3.00 – our chance 41% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSorrento to win ✗41% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.72
Giugliano vs Sorrento preview and prediction
The match
The Coppa Italia Serie C sees Giugliano take on Sorrento on Sunday 16 August, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Stadio Alberto De Cristofaro.
Form guide
Giugliano's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Catanzaro 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Sorrento's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Team Altamura 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Giugliano and 1.3 for Sorrento. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Sorrento to win at 3.00 – 41% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Giugliano 1–1 Sorrento. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Giugliano35%fair 2.86 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.10
Sorrento41%fair 2.45 · @3.00
2.39Expected goals
1.14Giugliano xG
1.26Sorrento xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Giugliano 1.1 – 1.3 Sorrento expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sorrento to win✗
41%
2.45
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sorrento / FT Sorrento✗
22%
4.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.72
–
Form
Giugliano – last 6
LWLLLW
5 Aug
@ Catanzaro
0–3
L
6 Apr
vs Crotone
1–0
W
29 Mar
@ Casarano
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ Audace Cerignola
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Siracusa
1–2
L
5 Mar
vs SS Monopoli
2–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sorrento – last 6
WDLLLL
6 Apr
vs Team Altamura
2–0
W
22 Mar
vs Crotone
2–2
D
15 Mar
@ Audace Cerignola
2–3
L
8 Mar
vs Benevento
0–2
L
5 Mar
@ Latina
0–2
L
1 Mar
@ Cosenza
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Giugliano and Sorrento.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Giugliano vs Sorrento?
On our numbers Giugliano have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sorrento 41%.
How many goals will there be in Giugliano vs Sorrento?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Giugliano vs Sorrento?
Our predicted score is Giugliano 1–1 Sorrento, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Giugliano vs Sorrento?
Giugliano vs Sorrento (Coppa Italia Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Alberto De Cristofaro.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dolomiti Bellunesi1
Treviso0
Juventus U231
Forli1
Alcione0
Novara1
Bari1
Casarano0
Crotone0
Cosenza2
Foggia1
Team Altamura2
Latina1
Ostia Mare1
Lecco0
Desenzano Calvina0