Value bet: Ostia Mare to win @ 3.30 – our chance 39% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOstia Mare to win ✗39% · @3.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.14
Latina vs Ostia Mare preview and prediction
The match
Latina host Ostia Mare in the Coppa Italia Serie C on Sunday 16 August, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Stadio Domenico Francioni.
Form guide
Latina's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Audace Cerignola 1–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Ostia Mare's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Lazio 0–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Latina and 1.2 for Ostia Mare. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Latina 37%, draw 24%, Ostia Mare 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Ostia Mare to win at 3.30 – 39% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Latina 1–1 Ostia Mare. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Latina37%fair 2.72 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.10
Ostia Mare39%fair 2.56 · @3.30
2.43Expected goals
1.19Latina xG
1.24Ostia Mare xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Latina 1.2 – 1.2 Ostia Mare expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ostia Mare to win✗
39%
2.56
3.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ostia Mare / FT Ostia Mare✗
21%
4.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.14
–
Form
Latina – last 6
DWLLLW
6 Apr
@ Audace Cerignola
1–1
D
1 Apr
vs Potenza
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Cosenza
1–3
L
18 Mar
@ Potenza
1–3
L
8 Mar
@ Salernitana
1–2
L
5 Mar
vs Sorrento
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ostia Mare – last 6
LLWLWW
5 Aug
@ Lazio
0–4
L
26 Jul
vs Benevento
0–2
L
13 May
@ Grosseto
3–2
W
3 May
@ Real Giulianova
0–4
L
26 Apr
vs Termoli Calcio
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs L'Aquila
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Latina and Ostia Mare.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Latina vs Ostia Mare?
On our numbers Latina have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ostia Mare 39%.
How many goals will there be in Latina vs Ostia Mare?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Latina vs Ostia Mare?
Our predicted score is Latina 1–1 Ostia Mare, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Latina vs Ostia Mare?
Latina vs Ostia Mare (Coppa Italia Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Domenico Francioni.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dolomiti Bellunesi1
Treviso0
Juventus U231
Forli1
Alcione0
Novara1
Bari1
Casarano0
Crotone0
Cosenza2
Foggia1
Team Altamura2
Giugliano0
Sorrento0
Lecco0
Desenzano Calvina0