Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Vis Pesaro to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPerugia to win ✗43% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.28
Perugia vs Vis Pesaro preview and prediction
The match
The Coppa Italia Serie C sees Perugia take on Vis Pesaro on Saturday 15 August, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Stadio Renato Curi.
Form guide
Perugia's last 5: DDWDD Most recently they drew with Forli 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Vis Pesaro's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Modena 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Perugia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 March 2026, finished Vis Pesaro 0–1 Perugia.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Perugia and 1.1 for Vis Pesaro. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Perugia 43%, draw 23%, Vis Pesaro 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Vis Pesaro to win at 3.20 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Perugia 1–1 Vis Pesaro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Perugia43%fair 2.32 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.00
Vis Pesaro34%fair 2.92 · @3.20
2.29Expected goals
1.23Perugia xG
1.05Vis Pesaro xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Perugia 1.2 – 1.1 Vis Pesaro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Perugia vs Vis Pesaro?
On our numbers Perugia have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Vis Pesaro 34%.
How many goals will there be in Perugia vs Vis Pesaro?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Perugia vs Vis Pesaro?
Our predicted score is Perugia 1–1 Vis Pesaro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Perugia vs Vis Pesaro?
Perugia vs Vis Pesaro (Coppa Italia Serie C) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Renato Curi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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